北天山中段微震活动检测及其活动性和孕震构造分析

北天山地震带地处中国大陆强震高发区, 孕震构造复杂, 近年来陆续发生了2016年呼图壁M_S6.2地震和2017年精河M_S6.6地震。 由于测震台网相对比较稀疏, 该区域微震监测能力较弱。 本文主要采用波形模板扫描法对北天山中段(43.5°N~44.5°N; 85°E~87.5°E)进行微震事件检测, 并反演精细的一维速度结构, 重新定位地震; 深入分析该区域的地震活动性和孕震构造特征。 经过微震检测, 得到该地区2014年1月至2018年9月期间57902个地震事件, 是原地震目录的10倍, 完备震级从1.2降至0.5。 结果显示, 北天山中段地震十分活跃, 主要分布在北天山山前霍尔果斯—玛纳斯—吐谷鲁背斜带南翼的浅部和南玛纳斯—齐古背斜带深部, 呼图壁地震震后地震活动性有增强的趋势。 研究期间沿背斜构造带走向地震分布不均, 霍尔果斯—玛纳斯—吐谷鲁背斜带西段地震活动多于东段, 南玛纳斯—齐古背斜带东段地震活动显著强于西段。 经过重定位, 发现研究区的地震事件主要发生在褶皱内部的“盲断层”上, 这些隐伏断裂与区域活动断裂和背斜构造共同组成的断层系孕育了北天山山前活跃的地震活动, 并可能成为未来强震的发震构造。     

霍尔果斯泥火山活动与新疆地区中强以上地震活动关系的初步研究

基于1991-2006年间对新疆霍尔果斯泥火山的系统观测,初步发现了泥火山活动与新疆地区中强以上地震的活动具有较好的对应关系,且对预测未来地震的发震时间及震级都有一定的指导意义,如能对泥火山的动态进行长期监测,会得到更加有研究意义的资料; 并认为泥火山具有一定的映震性能的原因可能与该泥火山处于中强以上地震活动的近震源区、构造上处于霍尔果斯背斜轴部及泥火山物质来自地层相对深处等有关.     

霍尔果斯活动构造的断裂扩展褶皱作用

作者在论述霍尔果斯活动构造地表特征的基础上,进一步讨论了霍尔果斯活动逆断裂的扩展和背斜褶皱的发育过程。断裂扩展褶皱作用以后断裂构造活动演化为背斜后翼向上分叉的数条南倾的叠瓦状逆断裂,地壳总缩短量在5km以上,缩短率大于5mm/a。     

据地壳速度结构推测1668年山东郯城8?级大地震震中

The deep structure features around Tancheng M8 /2 earthquake occurred in 1668 have been analyzed. Based on the crustal velocity structure obtained from travel-time tomographic inversion, especially the low velocity zones in middle crust and Moho depths, the deep velocity structure distribution in the area of 34° ~ 36°N, 118° ~ 119°E is scanned along the latitude, longitude and oblique directions, and the corresponding crustal velocity profiles are obtained. By comparison, we take the area with velocity features coincident to the deep structure of the 1668 Tancheng M8/2 earthquake as the deduced epicenter, which is at 34. 8° ~35. 2°N, 118. 2° ~ 118. 7°E, and the reasonable location is 35. isN, 118. 6°E, and the focal depth is 20km.     

Regional Tectonic Deformation Background and Medium- and Short-Term Precursors to the Minle-Shandan Earthquakes

INTRODUCTIONOnOctober 2 5,2 0 0 3,twoearthquakesofMS6 .1andMS5.8hitMinleandShandanofGansuProvinceinsuccession (at 38.4°N ,1 0 1 .2°E ;and 38.4°N ,1 0 1 .1°E) .Theseismicfaultisthrustandleft lateraltheMinle DamayingfaultwhichstrikesEWandisaffiliatedtot…     

夏季磁静日中国大陆上空电离层电子浓度变化特征

使用DEMETER卫星上Langmiur探针记录的电子密度(Ne)资料,分析了2007年6月6～20日磁静日中国大陆上空(0°～70°N,60°～120°E)660km高度的Ne变化特征.结果表明,整个研究区域Ne存在明显日变特征.在研究区域内,0°～20°N范围,Ne最大值出现在北京时的12～14时,随着时间推移.峰值幅度衰减;30°～50°N区域内,最大峰值分别出现在20时至次日2时,有些轨道出现双峰值;高纬度上Ne基本平衡在20000cm<'-3>左右.分别计算了30°N、40°N和50°N几个纬度点的时均值,结果显示在中纬度区夜间Ne变化幅度平均高于白天.40°N上Ne在21～22时呈现最大值,300N上Ne在13～14时呈现最大值,50°N基本无大的起伏,都与低纬度地区有明显差异,因此不同纬度之间形态各异,各纬度之间没有统一的背景信息.相邻轨道之间的相关性分析结果表明,与参考轨道相邻近的1～2条轨道相关系数比较高,因此选定2000～4000km范围进行背景场分析研究.     

Hadley环流与北太平洋涛动的显著关系

利用NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料,分析了冬季（11～4月）Hadley环流与北太平洋涛动（NPO）的变化特征以及它们之间的关系.本文选取0°~30°N区域里最大质量流函数来描述北半球Hadley环流强度随时间的演变,利用(20°N, 180°~160°W) 和 (60°N, 180°~160°W) 区域平均的标准化海平面气压差代表NPO强度.结果表明,冬季北半球Hadley环流与NPO的变化形势非常一致,两者都具有显著的年际和年代际变化（70年代前处于负位相,80年代之后处于正位相）,同时还呈现出明显的增强趋势.Hadley环流变化与NPO异常的关系非常密切,在年际和年代际时间尺度上都具有显著的正相关.这种强相关性在大气环流场上可以得到很好的印证.研究还揭示,太平洋地区10°~30°N下沉支和40°~60°N上升支的异常运动可能是这种关系存在的主要内在原因.     

Focal depth,magnitude, and frequency distribution of earthquakes along oceanic trenches

The occurrence of earthquakes in oceanic tren- ches can pose a tsunami threat to lives and properties in active seismic zones. Therefore, the knowledge of focal depth, magnitude, and time distribution of earthquakes along the trenches is needed to investigate the future occurrence of earthquakes in the zones. The oceanic trenches studied, were located from the seismicity map on： latitude ＋51 ° to＋53° and longitude -160° to 176° （Aleutian Trench）, latitude ＋40° to ＋53° and longitude ＋148° to＋165° （Japan Trench）, and latitude -75° to -64° and longitude -15° to ＋30° （Peru-Chile Trench）. The following features of seis- mic events were considered： magnitude distribution, focal depth distribution, and time distribution of earthquake. The results obtained in each trench revealed that the earthquakes increased with time in all the regions. This implies that the lithospheric layer is becoming more unstable. Thus, tectonic stress accumulation is increasing with time. The rate of increase in earthquakes at the Peru-Chile Trench is higher than that of the Japan Trench and the Aleutian Trench. This implies that the convergence of lithospheric plates is higher in the Peru-Chile Trench. Deep earthquakes were observed across all the trenches. The shallow earthquakes were more prominent than intermediate and deep earthquakes in all thetrenches. The seismic events in the trenches are mostly of magnitude range 3.0-4.9. This magnitude range may indi- cate the genesis of mild to moderate tsunamis in the trench zone in near future once sufficient slip would occur with displacement of water column.     

Application of support vector machine to synthetic earthquake prediction

This paper introduces the method of support vector machine (SVM) into the field of synthetic earthquake pre-diction, which is a non-linear and complex seismogenic system. As an example, we apply this method to predict the largest annual magnitude for the North China area (30°E-42°E, 108°N-125°N) and the capital region (38°E-41.5°E, 114°N-120°N) on the basis of seismicity parameters and observed precursory data. The corresponding prediction rates for the North China area and the capital region are 64.1% and ...     

Nighttime electron density enhancements at middle and low latitudes in East Asia

Nighttime enhancements in ionospheric electron density at mid- and low-latitudes are investigated by using the critical frequency of the F2-layer(fo F2) data measured from ionosonde stations at Okinawa(26.3°N, 127.8°E, Geomagnetic 15.3°N), Yamagawa(31.2°N, 130.6°E, Geomagnetic 20.4°N), Kokubunji(35.7°N, 139.5°E, Geomagnetic 25.5°N), and Wakkanai(45.4°N, 141.7°E, Geomagnetic 35.4°N) in East Asia during several solar cycles. The results show that there are obvious seasonal and solar activity dependencies of the nighttime electron density enhancements. The enhancements are termed pre-midnight enhancement and post-midnight enhancement, according to the local time when the enhancement appeared. The former has a higher occurrence probability in summer months than in winter months. In contrast, the latter has a larger occurrence probability in winter months than in summer months. Moreover, the nighttime enhancements in electron density are more likely to occur at lower solar activity. These seasonal and solar activity variations of the nighttime enhancements in electron density can be explained in terms of the combined effects of downward plasma flux from the plasmasphere and the neutral winds.