共查询到17条相似文献,搜索用时 93 毫秒
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《电子技术与软件工程》2019,(18)
本文针对路段行程时间具有非线性、实时性等特点,研究人员已经提出了动态神经网络、卡尔曼滤波等在线预测算法。而现有大多数实时预测算法并不是真正意义上的实时预测且存在复杂度较高、实时性差等问题。本文在极限学习机的基础上,提出了基于在线序列极限学习机的路段行程时间预测算法,算法能保证预测的实时性。 相似文献
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交通流量预测是实现智能交通技术的核心问题,及时准确地预测道路交通流量是实现动态交通管理的前提,短时交通流量的预测是交通流量预测的重要组成部分。该文针对十字路口的短时交通流量预测问题设计了基于交通流量序列分割和极限学习机(Extreme Learning Machine, ELM)组合模型的交通流量预测算法(Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Combined Model, TFPBCM)。该算法首先采用K-means对交通流量数据在时间上进行序列分割,然后采用ELM对各个序列进行建模和预测。仿真实验证明,与单一的BP(Back Propagation)神经网络和ELM相比,该组合模型算法建模时间为BP的1/10, ELM建模时间的4倍,均方误差为BP的1/50, ELM的1/20,该组合模型算法决定系数R2更接近于1,模型可信度更高。 相似文献
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针对医疗财务数据的风险,文中提出了一种基于灰狼优化算法改进极限学习机的数据分析方法,实现了对数据风险的精准预测。该算法基于极限学习对数据进行深度挖掘和分析,并在此基础上进行改进,通过灰狼优化算法对极限学习机的权重参数进行优化。通过在真实数据集上与极限学习机进行实验对比,本算法的决定系数R2为0.96,优于极限学习机的0.81,验证了所提算法的有效性。同时,为了进一步验证该文算法的优越性,在实验仿真过程中还与多种机器学习算法进行对比,结果表明文中算法的预测效果更为优越,相比于其中表现最佳的SVM也有了0.06的提升。 相似文献
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Jinmei Shi Jinghe Zhou Junying Feng Huandong Chen 《International Journal of Communication Systems》2023,36(7):e5448
The rapid update of computing power leads to exponential data traffic growth, and the incidence of network attacks is also increasing. It is significantly important to analyze and predict network traffic accurately in the early stage and take corresponding preventive measures. The existing network flow integrated forecasting models still have some bottlenecks that are difficult to solve, for example, the slow optimization speed of modal decomposition parameters, easy falling into local optimal solutions, the slow convergence speed of the training process, and poor generalization capability. In this paper, particle swarm optimization (PSO) is utilized to improve the parameters selection process of the variational mode decomposition (VMD) algorithm and the extreme learning machine (ELM) algorithm. First, the PSO-VMD combined with multi-scale permutation entropy (MPE) is utilized to decompose the original network flow, and multiple eigenmode components are obtained. Second, the PSO-ELM is utilized to train the network traffic prediction model, and the PSO parameters in PSO-ELM are updated through adaptive weight adjustment and synchronous learning factors to increase the training and prediction speed, and the component prediction results are reconstructed to get a high-precision network flow forecasting result. Finally, through the prediction and verification of the public network flow data of the WIDE backbone, the result of this experiment indicates that the VMD-PSO-ELM can break through the bottlenecks of slow optimization speed of VMD decomposition parameters, reduce the computational complexity of ELM, accelerate the convergence speed, and increase the forecasting accuracy. 相似文献
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改进的基于小波变换和FARIMA模型的网络流量预测算法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
提出了一种改进的基于小波变换和FARIMA模型的网络流量预测算法,先对经过预处理的流量进行小波分解,再进行Mallat算法单支重构,接着用FARIMA模型分别对重构后的单支进行预测,最后合成流量。该算法较之传统的首先用FARIMA模型对小波系数进行预测再进行小波重构的算法减小了预测误差。仿真实验也验证了改进算法的预测准确性。 相似文献
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《Mechatronics》2015
This paper presents the development and the validation of an automotive drivetrain model aimed to investigate the impact of true-to-life operating conditions on the damage prediction of transmission gearwheels. The model is based on a torsional and non-linear multi-body system representing the rotating parts between the engine and the driven wheels. The boundary conditions are performed with an engine model and a tire model coupled with a suspension & pitch model. The generation of the driving inputs is fully automated through a tunable driver model relying on predefined driving cycles. The model allows the simulation of start-up processes, gear shifts and tire grip loss, as well as of the transmission dynamics and the eigenbehavior of the gearwheels. The damage estimation is computed continuously and in parallel, by means of a linear damage accumulation method. The drivetrain dynamics was validated with temporal and frequency analyses based on measurements, data from the transmission manufacturer and literature. The estimated damages are also reality-conform. They were validated with comparative data recorded on vehicles during a measurement campaign on open roads. 相似文献
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为了提高激光通信系统视频信号传输速度自动预测能力,提出一种基于小波分析和高阶谱特征提取的激光通信系统视频信号传输速度自动预测方法。采用一阶近似分布源视频检测方法进行激光通信系统视频传输信号的降噪处理,对降噪输出的视频传输信号进行特征分解和多维测度信息配准,结合小波多层重构方法进行激光通信视频信号的重组,提取视频传输信号的相干分布源特征,根据提取的激光通信视频信号的相干分布源特征进行自动匹配,实现对激光通信系统视频信号传输速度的自动预测。仿真结果表明,采用该方法进行激光通信系统视频信号传输速度自动预测的准确性较好,对激光通信视频信号的分辨能力较好,提高了激光通信系统的视频信号传输速度的预测性能。 相似文献