| 2022年8月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏依侬,张京云,冯晔囡,黎丹,孔庆福,孟玲,涂文校,向妮娟,施国庆. 2022年8月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(8): 994-997. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208110357 |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏依侬 张京云 冯晔囡 黎丹 孔庆福 孟玲 涂文校 向妮娟 施国庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心, 北京 102206 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的 评估2022年8月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息，采用专家会商法，并通过视频会议形式邀请省（自治区、直辖市）疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果 总体上，预计2022年8月的突发公共卫生事件报告数可能与7月相近，仍以传染病事件为主。全国新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情受近期BA.5输入及本土续发疫情影响，存在局部地区聚集性疫情及疫情外溢到其他地区的风险，疫情防控形势严峻复杂。各地要按照国家总体要求高效统筹疫情防控和经济社会发展。预计8月霍乱感染风险增加，存在后续出现散发及局部地区聚集疫情风险。猴痘在全球传播风险为中等，需关注经入境人员输入疫情及其续发风险。多国报告儿童不明原因急性肝炎疫情，需要跟踪相关监测信息和研究进展。结论 对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注，对霍乱、猴痘予以一般关注。
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| 关 键 词： | 突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 风险评估 |
| 收稿时间： | 2022-08-11 |
Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,August 2022 |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Public Health Emergency Center, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China2.National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China3.National Institute of Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China |
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| Abstract: | Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in August 2022. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results Overall, the incidence of public health emergencies in August is predicted to be the same as in July, with infectious disease events accounting for the largest number. Considering imported BA.5 cases and secondary outbreaks in recent days, there is still risk of local cluster cases and spillover cases in the following month, which shows a difficult and complex situation for disease prevention and control. Local governments should effectively coordinate disease prevention and control with economic and social development in accordance with central government requirements. It is also expected that risk of cholera infection will increase in August, which might cause sporadic and local cluster cholera cases. The global transmission risk of monkeypox is moderate. Attention should be paid to risk of importing monkeypox case and local spreads it causes. Surveillance information and research progress in severe acute hepatitis of unknown aetiology in children of multi-countries needs to be tracked. Conclusion Special attention should be paid to COVID-19. General attentions should be paid to cholera events and monkeypox. |
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