| 基于系统动力学的绿色公路建设激励机制博弈研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐立芬,何寿奎. 基于系统动力学的绿色公路建设激励机制博弈研究[J]. 工程管理学报, 2019, 0(6): 99-104. DOI: 10.13991/j.cnki.jem.2019.06.018 |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐立芬 何寿奎 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆交通大学 经济与管理学院,重庆,400074 |
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| 基金项目： | 重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目;重庆市社会科学规划一般项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对绿色公路规模化发展程度不足、激励机制有待完善的问题,以政府方和绿色公路投资建设者为参与人构建两者间的演化博弈模型,分析绿色公路发展的内在机理。博弈模型表明当政府对绿色公路采取激励政策的概率较大时,投资建设者的稳定策略为建设绿色公路,当投资建设者建设绿色公路的概率较大时,政府方的稳定策略为采取激励政策。在此基础上利用系统动力学原理对博弈过程进行仿真分析,研究政府和投资者协同推进绿色公路的路径。仿真结果表明,促进绿色公路发展的关键是提高政企双方采取积极策略的初始概率,并降低影响演化结果的阈值。
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| 关 键 词： | 绿色公路 激励机制 演化博弈 系统动力学 |
Game Research on Incentive Mechanism of Green Highway ConstructionBased on System Dynamics |
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| XU Li-fen,HE Shou-kui. Game Research on Incentive Mechanism of Green Highway ConstructionBased on System Dynamics[J]. Journal of Engineering Management, 2019, 0(6): 99-104. DOI: 10.13991/j.cnki.jem.2019.06.018 |
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| Authors: | XU Li-fen HE Shou-kui |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics and Management,Chongqing Jiaotong University |
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| Abstract: | For the problems of insufficient scale development of green highway and imperfect incentive mechanism,anevolutionary game model between government and green highway investors is constructed to analyze the internal mechanism ofgreen highway development. The results show that the stability strategy of investors is to build green highways when the governmenthas a high probability of adopting incentive policies for green highways. The government’s stability strategy is to adopt incentivepolicies when investment builders have a high probability of building green highways. The evolutionary game process is simulatedand analyzed with the principle of system dynamics,and the path of cooperation between government and investors to promote greenhighway is investigated. The simulation results show that the key to promote the development of green highway is to increase theinitial probability of positive strategies adopted by both government and enterprise,and to reduce the threshold that affects theevolution results. |
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| Keywords: | green highway incentive mechanism evolutionary game system dynamics |
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