中国主要铂族金属供需预测及对策建议

铂族金属作为重要的战略性矿产,广泛应用于汽车尾气催化剂、首饰、化工催化剂、电气电子等多个领域。分析了中国铂族金属的供需现状,并运用部门消费法对中国2030年之前的铂、钯和铑3种主要金属的需求总量进行长尺度的预测,同时定量分析了未来中国铂族矿山的供应能力,认为随着国民收入的增加,对首饰及汽车的需求仍会增长,再加上汽车尾气排放标准的严格,2030年之前中国主要铂族金属的需求仍会增长,但受铂族资源禀赋限制,供应依旧乏力。针对这些问题,提出了相关对策建议。

The supply and demand prediction and suggestions of platinum-group metals in China

Platinum-group metals as important strategic minerals, widely used in automobile exhaust catalyst, jewelry, chemical catalyst, electrical and electronic and other sectors. This paper analyzes the supply and demand situation of platinum-group metals in China, and predicts demand of platinum, palladium and rhodium in the next 15 years by sector consumption method. Here, we also make quantitative analysis of the platinum-group metals supply capacity in the next 15 years. We hold that with the continuous in-creasing of national income, the demand for jewelry and automobiles will increase, along with the strict automobile emissions standards, the platinum-group metals demand will increase until 2030. But by the restrictions of the platinum-group metals resource endowment, the resources will be in short supply. In view of these problems, we put forward some suggestions.