危岩滑坡简易监测预警研究——以重庆市及邻近地区为例

目前我国群测群防监测手段已广泛应用到地质灾害预警研究领域,采集的众多原始数据和简单清晰的动态曲线资料,为地质灾害的评价、预测、预警提供了极大的空间分析基础.针对群测群防专业基础薄弱特点,本文主要从简易监测方法入手,利用各种监测手段采集的监测数据,分析已成功预警的危岩滑坡预报曲线及其变化规律,进而寻求变形破坏临界信号,初步给出了由位移-时间曲线形态的变化作为预报尺度的简易确定方法及稳定性判断准则,以最大限度的保障社会安定.

A STUDY ON SIMPLE EARLY-WARNING PREDICTION FOR ROCKFALL AND LANDSLIDE——CHONGQING AND ITS AROUND AREA

At present,the way to monitor and to prevent the hazard by people themselves has been wildly used in geohazards early-warning researching field.A lot of original data and informaton provide a large analyzing space for appraising,prediction and early-warning to the geohazards,the foundation of the way to monitor and to prevent the hazard by people themselves is possibly ineffective.The paper analyzed the curves which successfully early-warned the hazards with getting the patterns of the hazards' development and the destruction critical signal by using easy monitoring-methods.This paper provided forecast measure ascertain methods and the stability judging rules,It would be useful to keep the social stability to the maximum degree.