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不确定性信息下的河流纳污能力计算初探
引用本文:李如忠,汪家权,王超,钱家忠.不确定性信息下的河流纳污能力计算初探[J].水科学进展,2003,14(4):459-463.
作者姓名:李如忠  汪家权  王超  钱家忠
作者单位:1.合肥工业大学资源与环境工程学院, 安徽, 合肥, 230009;
基金项目:安徽省自然科学基金资助项目(03045306),合肥工业大学科学研究发展基金资助项目(030701F)~~
摘    要:基于河流水文、水质条件等因素的变化,在考虑参量取值可信度的基础上,运用未确知数学中有关盲数理论对不确定性信息下河流纳污能力计算问题进行了探讨.并以实际水体为例,求得相应可信度水平下纳污能力的未确知期望值.研究表明,运用未确知数学计算不确定信息下河流纳污能力,理论上是可行的,计算结果是可信的.为水质管理和保护,提供了科学依据.

关 键 词:不确定性信息    河流纳污能力    盲数    可信度
文章编号:1001-6791(2003)04-459-05
收稿时间:2002-05-27
修稿时间:2002年5月27日

Calculation of river water environmental capacity under unascertained information
LI Ru-zhong,WANG Jia-quan,WANG Chao,QIAN Jia-zhong.Calculation of river water environmental capacity under unascertained information[J].Advances in Water Science,2003,14(4):459-463.
Authors:LI Ru-zhong  WANG Jia-quan  WANG Chao  QIAN Jia-zhong
Affiliation:1.School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China;2.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China
Abstract:Based on the multi-uncertainty characteristics of river hydrology and water quality information,the blind number theory in unascertained mathematics is used to calculate river water environmental capacity.Through the calculation,not only the expected value of allowable load of a predominant pollutant for a river but also its corresponding confidence level can be obtained.The case study shows that the results received from the unascertained mathematics theory accord closer with practical situation than the traditional method of water environmental capacity calculation.
Keywords:unascertained information  river water environmental capacity  blind number  confidence level
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