山东省德州市地面沉降控沉分析及建议

山东省德州市地面沉降具有发展历史久、沉降量大、分布范围广、持续发展等特征,地面沉降防治工作形势紧迫。为分析《山东省德州市地面沉降防治规划(2018—2025年)》控沉目标如期实现的可能性,以德州市地面沉降现状及现有防治手段为基础,通过区域地面沉降速率公式量化计算及中心沉降速率预测进行控沉目标可行性分析。结果表明,在最严格的水资源管理制度条件下,控沉目标可以实现。针对地面沉降防治存在的问题,如地面沉降监测手段及监测频率有待提高、防治经费缺乏保障、地面沉降成因机理研究不深入、治理欠缺等,从管理和技术两方面出发,提出了包括健全监测网络、控采地下水、加大地面沉降知识宣传等控沉建议。该研究可为德州市切实有效进行地面沉降防治工作提供参考。

Analysis and suggestions on land subsidence control in Dezhou of Shandong Province

The land subsidence in Dezhou of Shandong Province has a long history with the characteristics of large amount, wide distribution and ongoing development. The prevention and control situation of land subsidence is becoming urgent. In order to analyze the possibility of realizing the goal in Subsidence Control Program in Dezhou, Shandong Province (from 2018 to 2025) on schedule, based on the current situation of land subsidence in Dezhou and the existing prevention and control means, the authors analyzed the subsidence control target feasibility through the quantitative calculation of regional subsidence rate formulas and the prediction of central subsidence rate. The analysis results show that under the strictest water resource management system, the subsidence control goal could be realized. At present, there are some problems in the prevention and control of land subsidence, for example, the monitoring means and frequency of land subsidence need to be improved, the prevention and control funds is lack of guarantee, and the subsidence mechanism research and govemance is still not enough. Then from the aspects of governance and technology, the authors put forward some suggestions, including improving the monitoring network, controlling the exploitation of groundwater, and expanding the propaganda of land subsidence knowledge. The study can provide some reference for the effective prevention and control of land subsidence in Dezhou.