| T106数值预报产品在赣南温度预报中的释用 |
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| 引用本文： | 钟名森,谢勇,杜世逊.T106数值预报产品在赣南温度预报中的释用[J].气象与减灾研究,1998(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 钟名森 谢勇 杜世逊 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省赣州地区气象台!341000 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1995年7～9月、1996年7～8月24～144h、1000～500hPa的T106格点资料与赣南17个县（市）的最高、最低、平均温度作相关分析；用逐步回归方法建立了分县逐日滚动预报方程。并用1996年9月份T106格点资料对方法进行检验，同时对预报方法及T106产品在温度预报中的释用能力作了初步分析。
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| 关 键 词： | T106产品 逐步回归分析 |
Application of NWP of T106in Temperature Forecast of southern area of Jiangxi province |
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| Zhong Mingsen, Xei Yong, Du Shixun.Application of NWP of T106in Temperature Forecast of southern area of Jiangxi province[J].Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research,1998(2). |
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| Authors: | Zhong Mingsen Xei Yong Du Shixun |
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| Affiliation: | Ganzhou Meteorological Bureau 341000 |
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| Abstract: | Correlation analysis are per formed of T106 grid data from 24 to 144 hours of July to September in 1995 and July to August in 1996, which are on the level from 1000Hpa to 500Hpa, and the maximum, minimum,mean temperature forecast of 17 counties(city) of the southern area of Jiangxi province, then we use the method of regression step by step to obtain a prediction equatiort of daily - rolling forecasting each county.The equation is tested by the T106 grid data of September in 1996. At the meantime, prediction abilities of the method and T106 products are analysed in temperature forecast. |
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| Keywords: | products of T106 method of regression step by step |
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