| 地质灾害临界雨量及潜势预报模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 谭艳梅,蒋军,蔡仁,肖开提.地质灾害临界雨量及潜势预报模型研究[J].新疆气象,2006,29(3):1-2,8. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谭艳梅 蒋军 蔡仁 肖开提 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆环境气象中心 新疆乌鲁木齐830002 |
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| 摘 要： | 给出了新疆地质灾害的时空分布特征及其与降水的关系,探讨了区域临界雨量指标,建立了基于前期观测降水量及未来24h降水预报量的地质灾害气象统计潜势预报模型,并给出了各级潜势预报对应的有效雨量。
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| 关 键 词： | 地质灾害 临界雨量 有效雨量 潜势预报模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0799（2006）03-0001-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-08-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-08-20 |
Research on Critical Precipitation and Potential Forecasting Models of Geological Hazards in Xinjiang |
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| TAN Yan-mei,JIANG Jun,CAI Ren,XIAO Kai-ti.Research on Critical Precipitation and Potential Forecasting Models of Geological Hazards in Xinjiang[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2006,29(3):1-2,8. |
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| Authors: | TAN Yan-mei JIANG Jun CAI Ren XIAO Kai-ti |
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| Abstract: | This paper describes the spatial-temporal distribution of geological hazards and the relation with precipitation, studies on critical precipitation, build meteorological statistical models of potential forecasting based on precipitation data of observed and forecasted, and gives the effect precipitation of 5 ranks potential forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | geological hazards critical precipitation effect precipitation potential forecasting models |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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