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Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960–2008
作者姓名:YAN Zhongwei  XIA Jiangjiang  QIAN Cheng  ZHOU Wen
作者单位:中国科学院大气物理研究所,,,
基金项目:supported bythe National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2009CB421401); Qian was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41005039); The work of Xia and Zhou was partly supported by astrategic research grant from the City University of HongKong (Grant No. SRG-Fd 7002505)
摘    要:Recent trends in seasonal cycles in China are analyzed, based on a homogenized dataset of daily temperatures at 541 stations during the period 1960–2008. Several indices are defined for describing the key features of a seasonal cycle, including local winter/summer (LW/LS) periods and local spring/autumn phase (LSP/LAP). The Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition method is applied to determine the indices for each year. The LW period was found to have shortened by 2–6 d (10 yr)-1, mainly due to an earlier end to winter conditions, with the LW mean temperature having increased by 0.2°C–0.4°C (10 yr)?1, over almost all of China. Records of the most severe climate extremes changed less than more typical winter conditions did. The LS period was found to have lengthened by 2–4 d (10 yr)?1, due to progressively earlier onsets and delayed end dates of the locally defined hot period. The LS mean temperature increased by 0.1°C–0.2°C (10 yr)-1 in most of China, except for a region in southern China centered on the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River. In contrast to the winter cases, the warming trend in summer was more prominent in the most extreme records than in those of more typical summer conditions. The LSP was found to have advanced significantly by about 2 d (10 yr)-1 in most of China. Changes in the autumn phase were less prominent. Relatively rapid changes happened in the 1980s for most of the regional mean indices dealing with winter and in the 1990s for those dealing with summer.

关 键 词:seasonal  cycle  temperature  extremes  season  length  climate  change  indices
收稿时间:21 December 2008

Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960--2008
YAN Zhongwei,XIA Jiangjiang,QIAN Cheng,ZHOU Wen.Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960--2008[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2011,28(2):269-283.
Authors:YAN Zhongwei  XIA Jiangjiang  QIAN Cheng and ZHOU Wen
Affiliation:Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, School of Energy and Environment, Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Centre, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong,Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,School of Energy and Environment, Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Centre, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Abstract:Recent trends in seasonal cycles in China are analyzed, based on a homogenized dataset of daily temperatures at 541 stations during the period 1960--2008. Several indices are defined for describing the key features of a seasonal cycle, including local winter/summer (LW/LS) periods and local spring/autumn phase (LSP/LAP). The Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition method is applied to determine the indices for each year. The LW period was found to have shortened by 2--6 d (10 yr)-1<\sup>, mainly due to an earlier end to winter conditions, with the LW mean temperature having increased by 0.2o<\sup>C--0.4o<\sup>C (10 yr)-1<\sup>, over almost all of China. Records of the most severe climate extremes changed less than more typical winter conditions did. The LS period was found to have lengthened by 2--4 d (10 yr)-1<\sup>, due to progressively earlier onsets and delayed end dates of the locally defined hot period. The LS mean temperature increased by 0.1o<\sup>C--0.2o<\sup>C (10 yr)-1<\sup> in most of China, except for a region in southern China centered on the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River. In contrast to the winter cases, the warming trend in summer was more prominent in the most extreme records than in those of more typical summer conditions. The LSP was found to have advanced significantly by about 2 d (10 yr)-1<\sup> in most of China. Changes in the autumn phase were less prominent. Relatively rapid changes happened in the 1980s for most of the regional mean indices dealing with winter and in the 1990s for those dealing with summer.
Keywords:seasonal cycle  temperature extremes  season length  climate change indices
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