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淮河下游暴雨和非暴雨天气特征分析
引用本文:尹东屏,沈树勤,曾明剑,濮梅娟,吴海英.淮河下游暴雨和非暴雨天气特征分析[J].气象科技,2005,33(4):324-329.
作者姓名:尹东屏  沈树勤  曾明剑  濮梅娟  吴海英
作者单位:江苏省气象局气象台,南京,210008
基金项目:江苏省科委“江苏省突发性高强度大暴雨预警服务系统研究”课题资助
摘    要:选用2003年6月21日到7月11日梅汛期12次暴雨和9次非暴雨过程,对其天气形势、物理量进行了合成平均对比分析;结合副热带高压脊线和地面锋面的位置,利用T213的20:00格点资料,计算和绘制了暴雨日和非暴雨日的合成平均物理量场,分析两类天气的热力和动力条件特征,揭示了它们之间的差异,并在此基础上建立了暴雨短期预报的概念模式。

关 键 词:暴雨  天气形势  暴雨概念模式  暴雨天气  特征分析  淮河下游  副热带高压脊线  物理量场  暴雨过程  格点资料
收稿时间:2004-04-02
修稿时间:2004-06-30

Comparative Analysis of Characteristics of Synoptic Patterns with and without Heavy Rainfall in Downstream of Huaihe River
Yin DongBing;Shen ShuQin;Ceng MingJian;Pu MeiJuan;Wu HaiYing.Comparative Analysis of Characteristics of Synoptic Patterns with and without Heavy Rainfall in Downstream of Huaihe River[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2005,33(4):324-329.
Authors:Yin DongBing;Shen ShuQin;Ceng MingJian;Pu MeiJuan;Wu HaiYing
Abstract:An analysis was made of 12 weather processes with rainstorms and 9 processes without rainstorms from 21 June to 11 July 2003. The synoptic patterns and physical quantities for the two kinds of processes were compared. The composite-average physical variables for the two kinds of weather processes were calculated, and the thermal and dynamical conditions were analyzed respectively using T213 grid data at 20:00, in combination with the position of the ridge line of Subtropical High and the position of the surface front. Based on the results, a concept prediction model for the short-range heavy rainfall was designed.
Keywords:heavy rainfall  synoptic pattern  conceptive model
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