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南天山强震前小震活动的有序分布
引用本文:李莹甄.南天山强震前小震活动的有序分布[J].内陆地震,2005,19(1):36-43.
作者姓名:李莹甄
作者单位:新疆维吾尔自治区地震局地震局,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830011
基金项目:地震科学联合基金课题(103008,103056),新疆科技攻关项目(20033316)联合资助.
摘    要:小震活动有序图像是一种重要的以小震报强震的预报方法。通过对南天山西段强地震前小震活动有序图像进行研究,着重分析了图像与构造、与地震发生的时间、位置以及震源机制之间的联系。认为有序图像是区域应力沿构造快速调整、分布的结果,既可能反映发震构造带的活动,也可起到控震作用,图像受地震的断错性质影响,具一定的中期前兆意义。

关 键 词:小震活动有序图像  南天山地震带  地震预报
文章编号:1001-8956(2005)01-0036-08
修稿时间:2004年7月13日

ORDERLINESS DISTRIBUTION OF THE SMALL EARTHQUAKES' ACTIVITIES BEFORE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTH TIANSHAN MOUNTAIN
LI Ying-zhen.ORDERLINESS DISTRIBUTION OF THE SMALL EARTHQUAKES'''' ACTIVITIES BEFORE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTH TIANSHAN MOUNTAIN[J].Inland Earthquake,2005,19(1):36-43.
Authors:LI Ying-zhen
Abstract:Orderliness distribution map of the small earthquakes' activities is a important prediction method that according the small earthquakes to predict strong earthquakes. This paper study the orderliness distribution map of small earthquakes' activities before strong earthquakes in South Tianshan Mountain, emphasizing on the relation between map and tectonic, time of earthquake occurred, location and focal mechanism. Author thought orderliness distribution map is the result of regional stress quickly adjusting and distribution along the fracture,it not only can reflect the activity of seismic tectonic, but also can use to control the earthquakes, the character of seismic fault reflect the map, and have some medium term precursory meaning.
Keywords:Orderliness map of small earthquake' activity  Seismic zone of South Tianshan Mountain  Earthquake prediction
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