基于循证的智库应急决策咨询模型研究

目的/意义]面向应急决策的现实需求,构建适应智库特征的应急决策咨询模型,为智库应急决策咨询功能发挥提供理论研究基础。研究设计/方法]结合文献分析与经验观察,论证智库应急决策咨询需要以循证为基础的必要性和重要性,构建一种基于循证的智库应急决策咨询模型,并提出智库应急决策咨询能力提升的关键对策。结论/发现]模型以应急管理的生命周期为基础,涵盖了应急预备层、应急应对层、应急恢复层三个阶段的智库决策咨询活动,并以智库循证实践作为连结各层之间的纽带,充分发挥智库应急决策咨询的咨政建言、公共沟通及资源交流功能。创新/价值]从智库研究视角出发,凸显智库在应急决策咨询中的重要价值,提出基于循证的智库应急决策咨询理论模型,完善智库应急决策咨询的基础理论研究。

Research on the Model of Evidence-based Emergency Decision-making Consultation for Think Tanks

Purpose/Significance]Targeting at the decision-making needs of public emergencies,this paper builds a model of emergency decision-making consultation according to the features of think tanks so as to provide a theoretical research foundation for its function exertion.Design/Methodology]By using the method of literature analysis and empirical observation,it demonstrated the necessity and importance of the application of evidence-based ideas in think tanks’emergency decision-making consultation,built a model of evidence-based emergency decision-making consultation for think tanks,and proposed the key countermeasures for improving the related capacity.Findings/Conclusion]Based on the life cycle of emergency management,the model represents the decision-making consultation activities of think tanks in three stages—emergency preparation layer,response layer and recovery layer,in which the evidence-based practice of think tanks is used as the link between each layer,and the functions of advisory advice,public communication and resource exchange of think tanks are fully exerted.Originality/Value]From the perspective of think tank research,this paper highlights the significance of think tanks in emergency decision-making consultation,puts forward a model of evidence-based emergency decision-making consultation of think tanks for the first time,and improves the basic theoretical research of think tank emergency decision-making consultation.