颠覆性技术识别方法述评

目的/意义] 通过对国内外颠覆性技术概念和颠覆性技术识别方法进行文献梳理，分析存在的问题，提出未来颠覆性技术识别可能的研究视角。方法/过程] 利用文献调研法归纳总结了6种颠覆性技术识别方法，分析各种识别方法目前存在的优势和不足。结果/结论] 颠覆性技术识别方法还存在一些弊端，如颠覆性技术分类不明确、特征定量化研究缺乏、现有识别方法中缺乏考虑技术知识之间的关联性，未来研究应该进一步加强颠覆性技术特征研究，并考虑知识之间的关联特征，并且加强从功效性特征数值突破和技术融合视角来识别颠覆性技术，同时，深入挖掘更细粒度的技术主题。

Research Review on Disruptive Technology Identification Method

Purpose/significance] Through literature review on the concept of disruptive technology at home and abroad and existing methods of identifying disruptive technology, this paper analyzes the existing problems and proposes possible research perspectives on future disruptive technology identification.Method/process] Six identification methods of subversive technology were summarized by means of literature research, and their advantages and disadvantages were analyzed.Result/conclusion] Disruptive technology identification method also has some disadvantages, such as the characteristics of disruptive technology classification is not clear, lack of quantitative research, the existing recognition methods lack of considering the correlation between technical knowledge, the future research should further strengthen the characteristics of disruptive technology research, and to consider the link between the knowledge characteristics, and strengthen the identification of disruptive technologies from the perspective of numerical breakthroughs in efficacy features and technology convergence. In addition, researchers should dig deeper into finer-grained technical topics.