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基于机器学习的图书馆用户流失影响因素研讨
引用本文:刘桂琴,许新华.基于机器学习的图书馆用户流失影响因素研讨[J].新世纪图书馆,2020(1):9-13.
作者姓名:刘桂琴  许新华
作者单位:湖北师范大学图书馆;湖北师范大学
基金项目:国家档案局科技项目计划“民生档案建设‘STOF模型’及其实现路径研究”(项目编号:2016-x-51);湖北省教育科学规划重点课题“地方本科师范院校转型发展的策略与路径研究”(项目编号:2015GA033)研究成果之一
摘    要:论文针对图书馆用户流失问题,基于图书馆用户数据,构建用户特征矩阵,利用深度神经网络预测用户流失风险;将存在流失风险的用户作为重点研究对象,根据用户特征,结合S-O-R理论设计图书馆用户流失影响因素模型。采用扎根理论方法设计问卷,提取影响图书馆用户流失的指标因素,并构建结构方程模型进行分析,将技术研究与质性研究相结合,挖掘影响用户流失的核心因素,并在此基础上,构建了图书馆智慧型服务空间设计模型,为图书馆创新服务提供决策支持。

关 键 词:用户流失  影响因素  机器学习  用户服务  智慧图书馆

Research on Factors Affecting Library User Churn Based on Machine Learning
Authors:Liu Guiqin  Xu Xinhua
Abstract:Aiming at the problem of library user churn,based on the user data of the library,the user characteristic matrix is constructed,and the risk of user churn is predicted by using the deep neural network.The users who have the risk of user churn are taken as the key research object,the influencing factors model of library user churn is designed according to the user characteristics and S-O-R theory,and the questionnaire is designed with the grounded theory method to extract the influence.The index factors of library user churn are analyzed by constructing structural equation model.Combining technology research with qualitative research,this paper excavates the core factors affecting user churn,and builds a design model of library intelligent service space on this basis,which provides decision support for library innovative service.
Keywords:User churn  Influence factor  Machine learning  User service  Smart library
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