基于系统动力学的区域技术创新与经济增长研究——以湖南省为例

利用系统动力学因果联系、互相反馈特点,分析系统内部各个变量之间的因果反馈关系,从区域创新环境、区域创新载体、区域创新投入3个方面定义区域技术创新能力指数,并建立技术创新与区域经济增长的系统动力学模型,并利用湖南省2006-2013年数据进行模拟和仿真.研究发现:知识产权保护水平、教育投入和企业自主研发投入水平是影响区域技术创新的关键因素;而一味通过政府投入,盲目增加专利数量对于经济增长效果不明显.

Regional Technological Innovation and Economic Growth Based on System Dynamics - Case in Hunan Province

This paper analyzes the system dynamics causal link, mutual feedback characteristics, based on the defined area of technological innovation on the impact indicators, analyzes the feedback causality relationship between the variables within the system, and the establishment of technological innovation and regional economic growth system dynamics model. From a regional innovation environment, regional innovation support regional innovation inputs defines three aspects of regional technological innovation capability index, and the introduction of the level of intellectual property protection in the innovation environment, innovation carrier focused on innovation efficiency considerations, the government investment in inputs and businesses to invest together, relative to the previous scholars have a larger breakthrough. Model uses the Hunan 2006--2013 year data simulation, through the study found that: to increase the level of protection of intellectual property, increase investment in education, as well as independent research and development investment to increase regional technical innovation can effectively improve efficiency and promote economic growth; blindly through government investment, blindly increasing the number of patents for economic growth is not obvious.