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2型糖尿病患者体重指数与死亡风险的前瞻性研究
引用本文:李莹,苏健,俞浩,覃玉,罗鹏飞,潘恩春,张宁,沈冲,周金意,武鸣.2型糖尿病患者体重指数与死亡风险的前瞻性研究[J].中华疾病控制杂志,2019,23(8):945-950.
作者姓名:李莹  苏健  俞浩  覃玉  罗鹏飞  潘恩春  张宁  沈冲  周金意  武鸣
作者单位:东南大学公共卫生学院,南京,210009;江苏省疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制所,南京,210009;淮安市疾病预防控制中心,淮安,223001;常熟市疾病预防控制中心,常熟,215500;南京医科大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,南京,210009;210009南京,东南大学公共卫生学院;210009南京,江苏省疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制所
基金项目:江苏省医学领军人才和创新团队项目K201105江苏省第四期"333工程"科研项目BRA2013107江苏省疾控中心科教强业工程青年人才JKRC2016007江苏省研究生实践创新计划SJCX18-0080
摘    要:  目的  探讨体重指数(body mass index,BMI)与2型糖尿病患者全死因死亡风险的关联。  方法  研究对象为江苏省苏南、苏北地区纳入国家基本公共卫生服务管理的17 638名2型糖尿病患者,应用Cox比例风险回归模型计算基线时不同BMI组人群在随访期间的全死因死亡风险(hazard ratio,HR)值及95%置信区间(confidence interval,CI)。  结果  研究对象累计随访77 451人年,平均随访4.39年,随访期间共死亡1 274人,低体重组BMI < 18.5 kg/m2、正常体重组(18.5 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 24.0 kg/m2)、超重组(24.0 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 28.0 kg/m2)、肥胖组(BMI ≥ 28.0 kg/m2)死亡人数分别为39人、575人、484人和176人,相应的死亡率分别为15.6%、9.5%、6.2%、5.1%。调整混杂因素后,以正常体重组为参照,低体重组、超重组、肥胖组死亡风险的HR值(95%CI)分别为1.66(95%CI:1.20~2.30),0.68(95%CI:0.61~0.77),0.58(95%CI:0.48~0.68)。  结论  在2型糖尿病患者中,与正常体重人群相比,低体重人群的全死因死亡风险最高,超重和肥胖人群的死亡风险较低,超重和肥胖可以降低2型糖尿病患者死亡风险。

关 键 词:体重指数  死亡风险  糖尿病  前瞻性研究
收稿时间:2018-12-18

A prospective study on the association between body mass index and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetic patients
Affiliation:1.School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China2.Department of Non-communicable Chronic Disease Control, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing 210009, China3.Huai'an Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Huai'an 223001, China4.Changshu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changshu 215500, China5.Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 210009, China
Abstract:  Objective  The aim is to investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) and risk of all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes.  Methods  A total of 17 638 patients with type 2 diabetes registered in the management of National Basic Public Health Services in two areas of southern and northern Jiangsu were recruited. Cox proportional risk regression model was used to calculate the hazard ratio(HR) value and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of different BMI groups in the follow-up period.  Results  The subjects were followed up for a total of 77 451 person-years with an average duration of 4.39 years, and 1 274 patients died during the follow-up period. The number of death in low weight group (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2), normal weight group (18.5 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 24 kg/m2), overweight (24 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 28 kg/m2) and obese group (BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2) were 39, 575, 484 and 176 respectively.The corresponding mortalities were 15.6%, 9.5%, 6.2% and 5.1%, respectively. Compared to normal weight group, the adjusted HR of all-cause mortality in low weight, overweight and obese group were 1.66 (95% CI: 1.20-2.30), 0.68 (95% CI: 0.61-0.77), 0.58 (95% CI: 0.48-0.68), respectively.  Conclusions  Low-weight patients have the highest risk of all-cause mortality compared with normal counterparts, while both overweight and obese people have a lower risk of death. Overweight and obesity may reduce the risk of all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetic patients.
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