中国非常规天然气产业发展趋势、挑战与应对策略

中国天然气发展"十二五"规划对优化能源结构提出新目标,天然气使用比例将由"十一五"末的4%提升到8%。非常规天然气资源已成为中国能源供应安全保障的重要基础,它的开发将有效缓解中国环境压力,中国将成为全球重要的页岩气产业示范区。但非常规天然气产业面临如下挑战:资源还需进一步落实、政策体系需要持续健全和完善、勘探开发关键技术亟待突破、资源开发与环境保护矛盾突出、市场培育与发展存在诸多制约因素。促进非常规天然气产业发展的策略是:①建立非常规天然气产业政策法规体系;②加强非常规天然气国际合作与交流;③加强天然气产业整体规划与实施;④培育非常规天然气利用产业集群;⑤积极培养非常规天然气科技与管理拔尖人才;⑥建立天然气现货与期货交易市场。结论认为:中国非常规天然气产业处在快速发展阶段,面临着重要的战略机遇,假以时日必将展现出广阔的发展前景。

Trends of,challenges in,and corresponding strategies for unconventional natural gas industry in China

A new goal was presented in the National 12^th Five-Year Plan for the optimized energy structure, natural gas proportion in which will be improved to 8% from the previous 4% by the end of last Five Year Plan period. It is known that unconventional natural gas development may alleviate some pressure on our environment and has become another alternative gas resource so China will possibly build an important demonstration industrial zone for global shale gas development. However, there are many challenges in unconventional natural gas industry in China, such as uncertainty of such reserves, inadequate support from imperfect policies, bottlenecking technical difficulties, conflict between resource development and environment protection, restrictions in market, etc. Therefore, the following proposals were presented for stimulating unconventional natural gas development in China: to formulate supporting policies, laws and regulations, to encourage international cooperation and communication, to strengthen overall planning and implementation, to cultivate utilization industrial clusters, to train more excellent talents with technical and leadership skills, and to establish the spot and futures markets.It is concluded that China unconventional natural gas is developing rapidly at present and with so many opportunities, its development will have a bright future.