产能、产量、投资、成本优化配置方法

以仿真优化理论为基础,依据油气开发生产的基本规律,按照整体最优的配置原则,结合现有油气生产、产能建设的特点,将已开发油田和未动用储量有机地结合起来,充分考虑市场经济条件下技术、经营状况,建立了一套综合考虑油田勘探开发潜力,经济合理地利用石油资源,将产能、产量、投资、成本等因素当作离散型资源配置问题对待并建立优化配置模型。为科学地确定年度生产规模、产能建设与投资规模以及成本控制等提供定量分析方法与优化手段。根据所建立模型运用“九五”实际数据和“十五”规划进行分析和验证,给出了推荐方案的总量并优选了应开发的具体区块。

Optimized Configuration of Productivity, Production, Investment and Cost

On the basis of Simulated Optimization Theory, basic rule for oil-gas recovery, the whole optimal configuration principle along with characters of available operation and productivity construction, a model of optimized configuration is developed which takes comprehensively into account of the exploration and development potentials, economic and reasonable utilization of petroleum resources and take productivity, production, investment and cost as discrete resource configuration objects. Using this method, the developed oilfields and non-producing reserves can be integrated organically with and including specific or local technologies and operating status under the market economy. It can be as quantitative analysis approach and optimizing tool for scientific determi-nation of annual producing scale, productivity construction and investment scope and cost control, etc. According to this model, this paper presents the analysis and validation between actual data from exploration and development during period of “he Ninth Five-Year Plan” and those of “he Tenth Five-Year Plan”,and provides the total number of recommended projects and specific areas or zones that will be as priority for development.