| Logistic模型的推导及自回归方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈元千,胡建国.Logistic模型的推导及自回归方法[J].新疆石油地质,1996,17(2):150-155. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈元千 胡建国 |
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| 作者单位： | The First Author:Professor of Engineering，Reservoir Engineering，Scientific Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development，CNPC，Beijing 100083 |
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| 摘 要： | ＤＥＲＩＶＡＴＩＯＮＯＦＬＯＧＩＳＴＩＣＭＯＤＥＬＡＮＤＩＴＳＳＥＬＦ－ＲＥＧＲＥＳＳＩＯＮＭＥＴＨＯＤ￥ＣｈｅｎＹｕａｎｑｉａｎ；ＨｕＪｉａｎｇｕｏ；ＺｈａｎｇＤｏｎｇｊｉｅ（ＴｈｅＦｉｒｓｔＡｕｔｈｏｒ：ＰｒｏｆｅｓｓｏｒｏｆＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎ...
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| 关 键 词： | 预测，模型，产量，累积产量，可采储量 |
DERIVATION OF LOGISTIC MODEL AND ITS SELF-REGRESSION METHOD |
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| Chen Yuanqian,Hu Jianguo,Zhang Dongjie..DERIVATION OF LOGISTIC MODEL AND ITS SELF-REGRESSION METHOD[J].Xinjiang Petroleum Geology,1996,17(2):150-155. |
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| Authors: | Chen Yuanqian Hu Jianguo Zhang Dongjie |
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| Abstract: | Based on the differentiating equation of growth type in Ref.1,this article simply derived the factural Logistic model.The methods for estimating production rate by fields,cumulative preduction rate,recoverable reserves,peak annual production rate and its year of occurrence were obtained.This model is simply applicable during the decline period after 50% recoverable reserves were produced.Furthermore,this article presented a self-regression method for solving the Logistic model. |
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| Keywords: | Estimate Model Production rate Cumulative production rate Recoverable reserves |
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