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预测油气田产量和储量的Weibull模型(为纪念克拉玛依油田勘探开发40周年而作)
引用本文:陈元千,胡建国.预测油气田产量和储量的Weibull模型(为纪念克拉玛依油田勘探开发40周年而作)[J].新疆石油地质,1995(3).
作者姓名:陈元千  胡建国
作者单位:中国石油天然气总公司石油勘探开发科学研究院
摘    要:基于概率统计学中的Weibull(威布尔)分布,提出了一个新的预测模型。该模型可用于预测油气田的产量、累积产量、可采储量、储采比、最高年产量及其发生的时间。实际应用结果表明,该预测模型是十分有效的。

关 键 词:预测,油气田,产量,可采储量,模型

WEIBULL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTPUTAND RESERVE IN AN OIL AND GAS FIELD
Chen Yuanqian ResearchInstitute of Exploration and Developlnent,CNPC,Beijing ,Hu Jianguo.WEIBULL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTPUTAND RESERVE IN AN OIL AND GAS FIELD[J].Xinjiang Petroleum Geology,1995(3).
Authors:Chen Yuanqian ResearchInstitute of Exploration and Developlnent  CNPC  Beijing  Hu Jianguo
Affiliation:Chen Yuanqian ResearchInstitute of Exploration and Developlnent,CNPC,Beijing100083 ,Hu Jianguo,
Abstract:Based on Weibull distribution in probability statistics, a new predictionmodel has been presented in this paper,which can be used to predict production rate,cu-mulative production rate,recoverable reserve,reserve-production ratio,maximum yearlyproduction rate and its corresponding time,The actural result showed that Weibull modelis very efficient for use.
Keywords:Prediction  Production rate of oil and gas field  Recoverable re-serve Model  
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