| 两种产量预测模型的比较 |
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| 引用本文： | 王俊魁,刘誉松.两种产量预测模型的比较[J].新疆石油地质,1999,20(6):522-525. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王俊魁 刘誉松 |
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| 作者单位： | 大庆石油管理局勘探开发研究院!黑龙江，163712，大庆石油管理局勘探开发研究院!黑龙江，163712，大庆石油管理局勘探开发研究院!黑龙江，163712 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用逻辑斯蒂（或哈伯特）产量模型和双对数产量模型对两个油田的年产油量和累积产油量进行了预测和比较，结果表明，双对数模型可对油气田整个开发阶段的产量进行预测，同时还可以预测油气田的可采储量，其预测精度要明显高于逻辑斯蒂（单对数）模型。应用表明，双对数模型是目前预测油气田产量中比较好的一种预测模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 年产量 总产量 可采储量 产量预测 模型 |
COMPARISON OF TWO KINDS OF PRODUCTION FORECAST MODELS |
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| Wang Junkui, Lin Yusong, Li Fayin.COMPARISON OF TWO KINDS OF PRODUCTION FORECAST MODELS[J].Xinjiang Petroleum Geology,1999,20(6):522-525. |
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| Authors: | Wang Junkui Lin Yusong Li Fayin |
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| Abstract: | The yeary production and cumulative production from two oiffields were predicted and compared based on logistic model and dual logdrithm production model. The resultS showed that dual logarithm model can be used tb predict the production of whole development stages of oil/gas field, meanwhile, its recoverable reserves can be predicted, which accuray is much higher than logistic model's. The actual application showed that dual logarithm model is the optimum one for predicting oil/gas production. |
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| Keywords: | Yeary production Total Production Recoverable production Production forecast Model |
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