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Using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making approach to enhance risk assessment for metropolitan construction projects
Authors:Yao-Chen Kuo  Shih-Tong Lu
Affiliation:1. Graduate Institute of Project Management, Kainan University, No.1 Kainan Road, Luchu, Taoyuan County, 33857, Taiwan;2. Department of Business Administration, National Central University, Taiwan
Abstract:The undertaking of construction projects in metropolitan areas is a risky, competitive, and dynamic proposition requiring a reliable risk assessment model for adequate planning. This study employs a fuzzy multiple criteria decision making (FMCDM) approach to systematically assess risk for a metropolitan construction project. Consistent fuzzy preference relations (CFPR) are used to measure and investigate the relative impact on project performance of twenty identified risk factors included in four risk dimensions. The fuzzy multiple attributes direct rating (FMADR) approach is employed to analyze the occurrence probability of multiple risk factors. Furthermore, the level of risk for the overall project caused by individual risk factor is evaluated with the synthesized analysis of the relative impacts and probability of occurrence. The implementation of FMCDM makes the proposed risk assessment approach more reliable and practical than the traditional statistical approach. The proposed approach can be employed to effectively evaluate the overall project risk, and can be benefited to efficiently identify significant risks of a metropolitan construction project.
Keywords:Construction risk  Risk assessment  Consistent fuzzy preference relations  Fuzzy multiple attribute direct rating
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