| 基于均生函数模型的杭州市年降雨量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙映宏.基于均生函数模型的杭州市年降雨量预测[J].水电能源科学,2009,27(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙映宏 |
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| 作者单位： | 杭州市水文水资源监测总站,浙江,杭州,310016 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用均生函数模型对杭州市1956～2008年年降雨量进行预测模拟,并对模型进行了修正.实例结果表明,修正模型具有较强的预报精度,可为类似时间序列要素的中长期预测研究提供借鉴.
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| 关 键 词： | 均生函数模型 年降水量 预测 |
Forecasting of Annual Precipitation Based on Model of Average-growing Function in Hangzhou City |
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| SUN Yinghong.Forecasting of Annual Precipitation Based on Model of Average-growing Function in Hangzhou City[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2009,27(2). |
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| Authors: | SUN Yinghong |
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| Affiliation: | Hangzhou Hydrology and Water Resources Monitoring Institution;Hangzhou 310016;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on model of average-growing function,the yearly precipitation from 1956 to 2008 in Hangzhou was modelled and forecast.What is more,the revised method of secondary modeling by error was brought forward and got better result.The fact shows that this method can have better forecast ability and give reference to forecast research of similar time series. |
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| Keywords: | model of average-growing function yearly precipitation forecast |
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