| 高速公路项目社会经济效益的产生机制
及其评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宇宁,运迎霞,范志清.高速公路项目社会经济效益的产生机制
及其评价研究[J].中国工程科学,2012,14(10):97-102. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宇宁 运迎霞 范志清 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学建筑学院,天津 300072
2. 国家开发银行天津市分行,天津 300061 |
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| 基金项目： | 天津市规划局科技计划项目（2010H3-0011） |
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| 摘 要： | 基于系统工程的思想，通过分析高速公路社会经济效益产生的机制，建立了区域经济—公路交通发展系统动力学模型，以天津市津蓟高速公路为例，通过系统仿真误差检验，证实了该系统动力学模型的仿真效果较好、性能稳定。通过已建—未建高速公路系统仿真结果的有无对比，计算并预测出了津蓟高速公路2003—2013年各年的社会经济效益，从而实现了高速公路项目社会经济效益评价的定量化目标，为今后类似项目的开展提供了理论指导。
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| 关 键 词： | 高速公路项目 社会经济效益 评价 系统动力学 |
| 收稿时间： | 2012/5/27 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2012/5/27 0:00:00 |
Research on the evaluation and mechanism of socio economic
benefit of highway projects |
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| Wang Yuning,Yun Yingxia and Fan Zhiqing.Research on the evaluation and mechanism of socio economic
benefit of highway projects[J].Engineering Science,2012,14(10):97-102. |
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| Authors: | Wang Yuning Yun Yingxia and Fan Zhiqing |
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| Affiliation: | School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;Branch of Tianjin, China Development Bank, Tianjin 300061, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of system dynamics,the paper analyzes the mechanism of socio-economic benefits of highway projects and establishes the system dynamic model of regional economic-public road transportation.Then taking Jinji highway project of Tianjin as an example,the error of system simulation tested and the system dynamic model built are verified to be quite stable,which have a high performance.Through the comparison of simulation results of Jinji highway being built or not,the paper simulates and predicts the socio-economic benefit of each year from 2003 to 2013.Thus the quantification evaluation of socio-economic benefit of highway project is realized and it will provide the theory instructions for similar projects in the future. |
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| Keywords: | highway project socio economic benefit evaluation system dynamics |
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