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供给侧结构性改革背景下的财政分权与产业结构
作者姓名:李慧  崔小勇  刘云皓  郭煜
作者单位:中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院;北京大学经济学院;国家开发银行企业局
基金项目:习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究院重大项目
摘    要:文章以省级面板数据为基础,利用固定效应和随机效应模型分析了财政分权对地方所有制结构和产业结构的影响。财政分权能够对经济发展产生重要影响。随着我国经济发展水平的不断提高,所有制结构和产业结构不断发生变化。当前,我国经济发展进入新常态,我国经济运行面临着一系列结构性矛盾,而调整优化经济结构是破解结构性问题的关键切入点。值得注意的是,地方政府财政分权程度的提高,不仅能够促进地方的经济增长,而且还会改变地方的经济结构,尤其是所有制结构和产业结构。文章的实证分析结果表明财政分权程度的提高一方面会降低工业企业中国有企业的占比,另一方面则会提高第二产业和第三产业的增加值占比,而对第二产业的积极影响要相对高于第三产业。此外,文章的分析结果还表明财政分权可以通过影响所有制结构来影响产业结构。文章的结论为当前优化经济结构提供了新的思路,具有重要的政策参考意义。

关 键 词:财政分权  所有制结构  产业结构

Fiscal Decentralization and Industrial Structure under the Supply-Side Structural Reform
Authors:Li Hui  Cui Xiaoyong  Liu Yunhao  Guo Yu
Affiliation:(School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development,Renmin University of China;School of Economics,Peking University;Large Corporate Client Department,China Development Bank)
Abstract:Based on provincial panel data,we use fixed effects and random effects models to investigate the effects of fiscal decentralization on local ownership and industrial structure.Fiscal decentralization can have an important influence on economic development.With the improvement of economic development in China,ownership and industrial structure are constantly changing.At present,China’s economy has entered the New Normal,and it is facing a series of structural contradictions.Adjusting and optimizing the economic structure is the key breakthrough to solve structural problems.As it is noticed,the improvement of local fiscal decentralization can not only promote local economic growth,but also change local economic structure,especially the ownership and industrial structure.The empirical results show that a higher fiscal decentralization will not only reduce the proportion of state-owned enterprises in industrial enterprises,but also increase the value added share of secondary and third industry,while the positive impact on the secondary industry is larger than the third one.In addition,the analysis results also show that the fiscal decentralization can affect the structure of the industry through influencing the ownership structure.Our conclusion provides a new way of thinking for the current optimization of economic structure,and has important reference significance for policy.
Keywords:Fiscal Decentralization  Ownership Structure  Industrial Structure
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