广东省市域经济与区域物流体系协同发展研究

作为全国商品集散地和国际制造和贸易中心的广东省，物流业在经济发展和转型升级中均有举足轻重的作用。本文从物流业发展规模、发展绩效和发展潜力3个方面，对“十一五”期间广东省21个市区域物流产业发展与区域经济发展的关联度进行实证分析，辨别出各市物流产业中与经济关联的主要和次要因子，进而建立GM（1，N）模型计算出二者的协调度。研究结果可以作为各市科学规划区域物流系统的决策依据，并对强化区域物流与区域经济互动作用有积极的指导意义。

A Research on Coordination of Regional Economy and Logistics in Guangdong Province

As the national goods distribution center, and international manufacturing and trade center, Guangdong province relies heavily on logistics industry which is pivotal to economic development, transition, and upgrading. From the perspective of logistics industry size, growth performance, and development potential, the degree of coordination of regional logistics industry and economic development of 21 cities in Guangdong Province in the eleventh five-year planning period is empirically analyzed. Then, the primary and secondary economic associating factors are identified. A GM(1, N) model is proposed to evaluate the coordination of regional economy and logistics. Results obtained could be taken as references to facilitate the decision making for the scientific planning of regional logistics system, and used to guide the coordination strengthening of regional logistics and economy.