Agricultural drought monitoring using MODIS-based drought indices over the USA Corn Belt

In 2012, the USA Corn Belt, an intensive agricultural region of the USA, was hit by a widespread severe drought, affecting states such as Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska, and Indiana. In this study, time series (2000–2012) of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) measurements were investigated to assess the 2012 drought conditions during the corn-growing season. Seven MODIS indices generated based on eight day MODIS reflectance and land surface temperature (LST) products were examined with standardized precipitation index (SPI) and Palmer-Z across the Corn Belt to evaluate the relative performance of each MODIS index to detect agricultural drought. The normalized difference infrared index (NDII6) anomaly shows the highest correlation coefficient (r) with SPI at three time scales and correlates best with Palmer-Z, which suggests good sensitivity of the NDII6 anomaly to precipitation and moisture deficiency in agricultural areas. The temporal and spatial features of drought provided by MODIS indices were compared with maps of the USA Drought Monitor (USDM), the current advanced tool for drought monitoring. The rapid intensification of drought across the Corn Belt in 2012 summer captured by MODIS index anomalies agreed with the changes of USDM maps quite well, especially in August and September when extreme drought occurred. Through comparison with the USDM drought map, the NDII6 anomaly demonstrated an advantage in monitoring drought condition over irrigated land and showed the potential to advance fine-scale agricultural drought monitoring by providing more detailed spatial characterization.