“一带一路”背景下中国与东盟国家贸易及跨境物流协作潜力分析

"一带一路"倡议顺应时代发展,统筹海陆,面向全球,为我国和东盟之间的贸易和物流发展带来了新的挑战和机遇。在此背景下,从中国对东盟直接投资、中国和东盟物流绩效现状、双方贸易互补性等方面进行分析和探讨。根据联合国商品统计数据库和世界银行统计数据库相关数据,运用Eviews进行中国和东盟国家贸易与跨境物流的格兰杰因果关系检验。研究发现:东盟和中国的物流发展分别是影响对方贸易发展的原因。应紧抓"一带一路"建设机遇,充分利用双边贸易互补性,深化同东盟各国的贸易及跨境物流协作,拓宽贸易合作领域,同时改善物流发展硬件和软件环境,实现双方经济共同增长。

POTENTIAL ANALYSIS OF TRADE AND CROSS BORDER LOGISTICS COLLABORATION BETWEEN CHINA AND ASEAN COUNTRIES UNDER THE BACKGROUND OF THE BELT AND ROAD

“The belt and road”(B&R) conforms the development of the times, coordinates ocean and land, and faces the world, bringing new challenges and opportunities for the development of trade and logistics between China and ASEAN. In the context of B&R, we analyzed and discussed China s direct investment in ASEAN, the current status of logistics performance in China and ASEAN, and the mutual complementarity of trade between the two sides. On the basis of the statistics of the UN commodity statistics database and the world bank statistics database, Eviews was used to conduct Granger causality tests for trade and cross-border logistics between China and ASEAN countries. Research shows that the development of logistics in ASEAN and China is the reason that affects the development of each other s trade. We must seize the opportunity of B&R, make full use of bilateral trade complementarities, and deepen trade and cross-border logistics cooperation with ASEAN countries. We must broaden the scope of trade cooperation, improve the hardware and software environment for logistics development, and achieve mutual economic growth.