| 时间序列分析在轨道交通客流预报中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 田龙辉,苏厚勤,冯娟.时间序列分析在轨道交通客流预报中的应用研究[J].计算机应用与软件,2009,26(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 田龙辉 苏厚勤 冯娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 东华大学计算机科学与技术学院,上海,201620
2. 上海申通轨道交通研究咨询有限公司,上海,201103 |
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| 摘 要： | 时间序列分析是动态数据分析的重要方法,在多学科领域中得到广泛的研究和运用.研究时间序列分析在城市轨道交通自动售检票系统数据分析中的应用方法,并结合某线路AFC系统的历史沉淀数据,给出两个完整的时间序列分析案例,其分析方法能够为AFC运营管理提供有效决策的手段.
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列 指数平滑法 自动售检票系统 断面客流 |
APPLICATION RESEARCH OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS ON PASSENGER FLOW FORECAST OF RAIL TRANSIT |
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| Tian Longhui,Su Houqin,Feng Juan.APPLICATION RESEARCH OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS ON PASSENGER FLOW FORECAST OF RAIL TRANSIT[J].Computer Applications and Software,2009,26(1). |
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| Authors: | Tian Longhui Su Houqin Feng Juan |
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| Affiliation: | School of Computer Science and Technology;Donghua University;Shanghai 201620;China;Shanghai Shentong Rail Transit Research and Consultancy Co.;Ltd.;Shanghai 201103;China |
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| Abstract: | Time series analysis is an important method of the dynamic data analysis which has extensive researches and usages in many subject fields.An application method of time series analysis on the data analysis of city metro transportation Automatic Fare Collection system is studied in this paper,and two integrated cases of time series analysis combined with the history data of one certain AFC system is given,the analysis method is able to provide valid decision means for the AFC operation management. |
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