基于BP网络的武器系统使用可用性仿真研究

使用可用性（Ao）是装备完好性的定量度量指标,是将装备的性能转化为任务效能的必要条件,是衡量系统实际战斗力的重要标志.使用可用性仿真是一个复杂的过程仿真,迄今仍然没有一套可操作的仿真模型和算法可实时评估系统和设备的使用可用性.该文利用BP网络、Monte Carlo抽样、离散事件仿真、数理统计、计算机仿真等理论建立了一种可实时仿真系统使用可用性的过程仿真模型,结果表明：此模型可用于全寿命周期定量评价系统或设备的使用可用性,为设计和使用人员提供依据.

Operational Availability Simulation of Weapon System Based on BP Net

Operational availability(Ao) is a ration measurment index of materrial readiness,a necessary conditon for turning the performance into mission efficiency,and an important symbol of battle effectiveness.The simulation of Ao is a complex process simulation.There is not an operationable simulation model and algorithm which can be used to evaluate the Ao of system and equipment by now.A real-time system simulation model of Ao is set up in the article through the theory of BP net,Monte Carlo sampling,event simulation,mathematical statistics and couputer simulation.The results show that the model can be applied to evaluate Ao of the system or equipment in life cycle,and offers a basis for designers and operatiors.