| 包含自发自用电量情况的负荷预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 赖岳雄,潘旭红.包含自发自用电量情况的负荷预测[J].自动化与信息工程,2004,25(2):4-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赖岳雄 潘旭红 |
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| 作者单位： | 广电集团广州增城供电分公司 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文针对一种含有自发电的特殊情况来进行负荷预测，对时间序列法在负荷预测的建模中应用，提出了一种ARMAX的模型，结合预测模型，将自发电作为一个大扰动来考虑。通过验证，得到了较好的结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 自发电 大扰动 负荷预测 时间序列法建模 ARMAX模型 自回归模型 |
A New Approach for Load Forecasting Including Self-production Power |
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| Lai Yuexiong,Pan Xuhong.A New Approach for Load Forecasting Including Self-production Power[J].Automation & Information Engineering,2004,25(2):4-6. |
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| Authors: | Lai Yuexiong Pan Xuhong |
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| Abstract: | A new approach for load forecasting including self-production power is presented in this article. Due to the application of the time series in the modeling, a model for ARMAX is given. In this model, the self-production power is considered as a big disturbance. Validated with the test data, a good result is obtained. |
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| Keywords: | Self-Production Power Big Disturbance Load Forecasting Modeling With Time Series ARMAX |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
