| 基于BP神经网络的电网短期负荷预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周英,尹邦德,任铃,边雪芬.基于BP神经网络的电网短期负荷预测模型研究[J].电测与仪表,2011,48(2):68-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周英 尹邦德 任铃 边雪芬 |
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| 作者单位： | 周英,尹邦德,任铃,ZHOU Ying,YIN Bang-de,REN Ling(四川省电力公司德阳电业局,四川,德阳,618000);边雪芬,BIAN Xue-fen(黑龙江大学,信息科学与技术学院,哈尔滨,150080) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了获得能够反映短期负荷波动的自动预测模型,将BP神经网络运算逻辑与Matlab神经网络工具箱相结合,利用供电系统的气象条件、供电日的日期类型等函数干扰因素作为BP网络神经元的约束"权值",结合自适应控制中的节假日、供电限制等"外部干预项",通过模型对系统历史运行短期负荷数据进行自动"学习",获得一个具有自适应学习速率...
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| 关 键 词： | 电力系统 短期负荷预测 归一化 BP神经网络 Matlab |
Study of Electricity Short-term Load Forecast Based on BP Neural Network |
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| ZHOU Ying,YIN Bang-de,REN Ling,BIAN Xue-fen.Study of Electricity Short-term Load Forecast Based on BP Neural Network[J].Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation,2011,48(2):68-71. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Ying YIN Bang-de REN Ling BIAN Xue-fen |
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| Affiliation: | ZHOU Ying1,YIN Bang-de1,REN Ling1,BIAN Xue-fen2(1.De Yang Electrical-industries-bureau,Deyang 618000,Sichuan,China. 2.The Information Science and Technology Institute of Heilongjiang University,Harbin 150080,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to obtain an automatic forecasting model which can reflect the power net short-term load wave,the paper combines BP neural network and Matlab logic toolbox with the weather conditions,the type of power supply dates and so on as the constraint of the BP neural network;joints the holidays,power limits and so on as the external intervention options of the adaptive control system.Through the model to obtain an adaptive learning rate automatically short-term load forecasting model of electric power syst... |
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| Keywords: | Matlab |
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