| 基于时间序列分析方法的预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李少远,曹保定,孟昭忠,王群仙.基于时间序列分析方法的预测模型研究[J].河北工业大学学报,1995(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李少远 曹保定 孟昭忠 王群仙 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北工业大学电气工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 预测控制拓广了模型的概念，以功能取代结构的建模思想更符合模型的本意，具有较大的实用意义．基于这一思想，本文提出一种利用时间序列分析建立预测模型的方法，这种模型对被控量中带有变化趋势的行为做了很好的提取，反映了系统中频率的变化并做了实例说明．
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| 关 键 词： | 预测控制，模型，时间序列分析，负荷扰动 |
A Study on the Predictive Model Based on the Time Series Analysis |
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| Li Shaoyuan ,Cao Baoding, Meng Zhaozhong, Wang Qunxian.A Study on the Predictive Model Based on the Time Series Analysis[J].Journal of Hebei University of Technology,1995(3). |
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| Authors: | Li Shaoyuan Cao Baoding Meng Zhaozhong Wang Qunxian |
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| Affiliation: | Li Shaoyuan ;Cao Baoding; Meng Zhaozhong; Wang Qunxian |
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| Abstract: | The model conception is expanded in the predictive control, the idea that the structure is replaced by the function is more conformed to the original idea. According to this idea, a predictve model based on time series analysis is provided in this paper,this kind of model gives a proper regresion to the manipulated variable with the varied tendency,and depicts the effect of the load disturbance, and gives an example on the frequency control in the power system. |
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| Keywords: | Predictivc Control Model Time series analysis Load disturbance |
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