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水文模型参数敏感性的区间分析
引用本文:李丹,张翔,张扬,朱马别克·努尔合买提.水文模型参数敏感性的区间分析[J].水利水电科技进展,2011,31(1):29-32.
作者姓名:李丹  张翔  张扬  朱马别克·努尔合买提
作者单位:1. 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,湖北,武汉,430072
2. 新疆阿勒泰水文水资源勘测局,新疆,阿勒泰,836500
摘    要:介绍SIMHYD降水径流模型的结构及计算原理,利用该模型模拟了丹江口以上汉江上游流域的月流量过程,并采用区间分析方法分析SIMHYD模型参数的敏感性。结果表明:SIMHYD模型可以较好地模拟该流域的月流量过程;根据参数敏感性大小可将SIMHYD模型参数归为3类:第1类为敏感参数,如SMSC和SUB;第2类为较敏感参数,如CRAK和K;第3类为非敏感参数,如INSC,COEFF和SQ。

关 键 词:水文模型  参数  敏感性分析  区间分析
修稿时间:2011/2/22 0:00:00

Application of interval analysis of sensitivity of parameters of hydrologic model
LI Dan,ZHANG Xiang,ZHANG Yang,Dzhumabek Noor Ahmat.Application of interval analysis of sensitivity of parameters of hydrologic model[J].Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2011,31(1):29-32.
Authors:LI Dan  ZHANG Xiang  ZHANG Yang  Dzhumabek Noor Ahmat
Abstract:The structure and principles of the SIMHYD rainfall-runoff model were introduced.The monthly runoff process in the upper reaches of Hanjiang River upstream Danjiangkou was simulated by use of the model.On such a basis,the sensitivity of parameters of the SIMHYD model was analyzed by means of the interval analysis method.The results show that the SIMHYD model can be employed to satisfactorily simulate the monthly runoff process of the study area.The parameters of the SIMHYD model can be classified into three groups:(1) sensitivity parameters such as SMSC and SUB,(2) local sensitivity parameters such as CRAK and K,and(3) non-sensitivity parameters such as INSC,COEFF and SQ.
Keywords:hydrologic model  parameter  sensitivity analysis  interval analysis
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