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长江流域重点生态功能区生态补偿研究——基于演化博弈的博弈策略及因素分析
引用本文:马 骏,,夏正仪.长江流域重点生态功能区生态补偿研究——基于演化博弈的博弈策略及因素分析[J].资源与产业,1999,22(3):20-30.
作者姓名:马 骏    夏正仪
作者单位:(1河海大学 商学院,江苏 南京 211100;2 江苏省水资源与可持续发展研究中心, 江苏 南京 210098)
摘    要:长江流域重点生态功能区的生态建设影响全流域的生态安全,国家对这些生态重点区域设置了一系列限制开发政策,这也对当地处于贫困线下的居民提出了更高的脱贫要求,而生态补偿可能给予因“生态贫困”而致贫的当地居民有效的脱贫帮助。本文通过演化博弈模型探讨长江流域上下游生态功能区生态补偿合作机制,以上游(保护,不保护)、下游(补偿、不补偿)为策略建立演化博弈矩阵,分4种情况对上游-下游混合博弈稳定策略进行讨论,最后得出(上游保护,下游补偿)为最优稳定策略,对其中该稳定策略中各因素关于演化方向的影响进行探讨。长江流域精准补偿机制的合作趋势的概率主要受上游生态保护综合成本、上游生态保护综合收益、下游补偿额度、上游开发收益、上游赔偿额度、对上游惩罚力度以及下游惩罚力度7个参数影响,其中上游生态保护综合成本、下游补偿额度以及上游赔偿额度为重要影响因素。上游降低生态保护综合成本,中央政府适当降低下游补偿额度、提高上游赔偿额度,同时控制惩罚额度能够提高生态补偿合作概率。

收稿时间:2019-08-28
修稿时间:2020-04-17

ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION OF KEY ECO-FUNCTIONAL AREAS IN YANGTZE RIVER BASIN BASED ON EVOLUTIONARY GAMING STRATEGY
MA Jun,,XIA Zhengyi.ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION OF KEY ECO-FUNCTIONAL AREAS IN YANGTZE RIVER BASIN BASED ON EVOLUTIONARY GAMING STRATEGY[J].Resources & Industries,1999,22(3):20-30.
Authors:MA Jun    XIA Zhengyi
Affiliation:(1 Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China; 2 Jiangsu Research Center for Water Resource and Sustainable Development, Nanjing 210098, China)
Abstract:The ecological construction of key eco-functional areas in Yangtze river basin impacts ecological guarantee of the whole basin, administration sets up constraint policies within the areas, leaving a higher standard in getting rid of poverty for local residents under the poverty line, which may be met by ecological compensation. This paper uses evolutionary gaming model to discuss the ecological compensation cooperation for upper- and down-stream eco-functional areas of Yangtze river basin via a strategy of protection or non-protection in up-stream and compensation or non-compensation in down-stream, and discusses the mixed stable strategy based on the above four scenarios, and presents a premium stable strategy which has been detailed in all factors of their evolutionary direction. The cooperation of precise compensation is jointly influenced by seven parameters, total cost and benefits of ecological protection, development benefits, compensation quota, punishment strength in up-stream, and compensation quota and punishment strength in down-stream, of which the total cost of ecological protection and compensation quota in up-stream and compensation quota in down-stream are key factors. This paper presents suggestion in increasing ecological compensation cooperation possibility on reducing total cost of ecological protection in up-stream and compensation quota in down-stream, raising compensation quota in up-stream and controlling punishment quota.
Keywords:ecological functional area  ecological compensation  evolutionary gaming  ecological poverty  Yangtze River basin
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