| 水-岩作用模拟的可信度分析及其应用初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 童海涛,宋汉周.水-岩作用模拟的可信度分析及其应用初探[J].西部探矿工程,2003,15(7):67-69. |
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| 作者姓名： | 童海涛 宋汉周 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学地质及岩土工程系,江苏,南京,210098 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对水-岩作用中的不确定性现象，运用随机分析的方法对水-岩作用状况进行分析。通过本次研究的化学平衡计算与Monte—Carlo耦合程序，对某坝基两处水-岩作用状况进行了分析评价。结果表明：可信度分析在水-岩作用水文地球化学模拟中有很好的实用性和应用前景，水化学数据的不确定性对分析结果的均值和方差影响较大，而对评价水-岩状态可信度概率的影响相对较小。
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| 关 键 词： | 可信度分析 可信度，饱和度 水－岩作用 化学平衡计算 Monte－Carlo耦合程序 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-5716(2003)07-67-03 |
The Study on Reliability Analysis and Application in Hydrochemical Modeling of Water-rock rock Interaction |
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| TONG Hai tao,SONG Han zhou.The Study on Reliability Analysis and Application in Hydrochemical Modeling of Water-rock rock Interaction[J].West-china Exploration Engineering,2003,15(7):67-69. |
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| Authors: | TONG Hai tao SONG Han zhou |
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| Abstract: | Due to the uncertainty in the water-rock interaction, reliability analysis is used to simulate the status of the water-rock system . This paper simulates and evaluates the interaction between water and grouts by a coupled Monte-Carlo chemical equilibrium model that was developed during this study .The results show that risk analysis provides the confirmation for the reliability of water-rock interaction .The error in the hydrochemical analysis data can strongly effect the mean and variance of the results while the reliability in evaluating the status of water-rock interaction varies little. |
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| Keywords: | Reiability analysis reliability saturation index water-rock interaction |
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