| 用灰色理论Verhulst 模型进行富家坞矿北帮边坡大滑坡的预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 熊传治,徐诚,姜军,郭胜.用灰色理论Verhulst 模型进行富家坞矿北帮边坡大滑坡的预报[J].矿冶工程,1998,18(3):5-9. |
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| 作者姓名： | 熊传治 徐诚 姜军 郭胜 |
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| 作者单位： | 长沙矿冶研究院采岩所, 长沙, 410012
富家坞铜业公司总工办, 江西德兴, 334200
富家坞露天矿技术科,江西德兴, 334200 |
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| 摘 要： | 对灰色理论的Verhulst 模型作了简介, 利用作者编制的程序对富家坞露天矿北帮边坡大滑坡时间作出了科学的预测。预测的滑坡时间与实际的滑坡时间的误差在工程允许精度之内。分析表明用Verhulst 模型对边坡作长期与短期滑坡预报都是可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 数据累计生成处理 数据逆累计生成处理 灰色理论 一阶白化非线性微分方程 滑坡预报 |
| 收稿时间： | 1998-03-01 |
FORECAST OF SLOPE FAILURE FOR NORTH WALL SLOPE OF FUJIAWU OPEN PIT BY MEANS OF VERHULST MODEL OF GREY THEORY |
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| Xiong Chuanzhi,Xu Cheng,Jiang Jun,Guo Sheng.FORECAST OF SLOPE FAILURE FOR NORTH WALL SLOPE OF FUJIAWU OPEN PIT BY MEANS OF VERHULST MODEL OF GREY THEORY[J].Mining and Metallurgical Engineering,1998,18(3):5-9. |
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| Authors: | Xiong Chuanzhi Xu Cheng Jiang Jun Guo Sheng |
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| Affiliation: | Changsha Research Insti tute of Mining and Metal lurgy, Changsha, 410012
Fujiawu Copper Mining Corp.Dexing, 334200 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the Verhulst model of grey theory was simply introduced. Using the source program completed by the authors, the time for slope failure of north wall slope of Fujiawu Open Pit was predicted scientifically. The accuracy between the predicted and actual times was in the allowable error range of engineering. The analysis indicates that both long term and short term forecasts of slope failure can be achieved using the Verhulst model. |
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| Keywords: | Accumulated generation operation of data (AGO) Inversely accumulated generation operation of deta (I AGO) Grey theory Whitened nonlinear differential equation of first order Forecast of slope failure |
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