城市轨道交通PPP招商运营收支预测研究

在PPP招商阶段,城市轨道交通项目运营收支预测直接关系到招标条款设置的合理性和政府补贴额预测的准确性.从运营收入、运营支出角度分析城市轨道交通PPP招商运营收支预测情况,系统梳理并阐述票务收入、非票务收入、各项运营成本、重置更新成本、车辆追加成本以及税费的预测分析方法,供行业内研究探讨,从而希望为城市轨道交通PPP模式发展和运用提供借鉴.

Forecast Research on the Operating Incomes and Costs in the Bidding Stage of the Urban Rail Transit PPP Projects

In the biding stage of PPP project, the forecast of urban rail transit revenue and expenditure is directly related to the rationality of the establishment of the tender clause and the accuracy of the forecast of government subsidies. This paper analyzes urban rail transit PPP investment operations revenue projections from operating income, operating expenses, systematically reviews and elaborates the forecasting methods of the ticket revenue, the non-ticket revenue, the detailed operating costs, the update costs and the taxes, hoping to provide some beneficial preference for the development and application of PPP in the field of urban rail transit.