“一带一路”沿线省份工业环境效率评价及影响因素研究

基于包含非期望产出的SBM模型测度了“一带一路”沿线17个省市区2006-2015年的工业环境效率，通过Tobit模型对工业环境效率的影响因素进行了回归分析。研究结果表明：①“一带一路”倡议的实施提高了沿线省市区经济发展水平，区域平均工业环境效率也略有提升；②“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线省市区工业环境效率较高，而 “丝绸之路经济带”工业环境效率普遍偏低；③人均GDP、产业结构、人口密度对“一带一路”沿线省市区工业环境效率有显著正向促进作用，对外贸易水平和环境规制对工业环境效率有显著负向影响，而地区生产总值占比、贸易依存度的影响则不显著。因此，建议通过产业结构优化、能源利用效率提升、“海上丝绸之路”区域科技水平提升、“丝绸之路经济带”经济增长模式转变等措施实现“一带一路”区域经济和环境的协调发展。

The Industrial Environmental Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors of “One Belt and One Road”

This paper measures the industrial environment efficiency of 17 provinces, cities and districts along the One Belt And One Road from 2006 to 2015 bythe SBM model containing the unexpected output, and analyzes the influence factors of industrial environmental efficiency through the Tobit model. The results of the study indicate that:a. the implementation of the One Belt And One Road initiative has improved the economic development of the provinces, cities and distracts along the routes, and the regional average industrial environmental efficiency has been improved slightly; b. the industrial environment efficiency of the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road is comparatively high, but the industrial environment efficiency of the Silk Road Economic Belt is generally low; c. the per capita GDP, industrial structure, population density are of great importance in promoting efficiency of industrial environment, and the poor condition of the foreign trade and environmental regulation efficiency has a clear negative impact on the industrial environment, but not so clear to the GDP proportion and the trade dependency. Therefore,it is important to realize the coordinated development of economy and environment in the One Belt and Road region through optimizing the industrial structure,improvingenergy utilization efficiency, developing regional science and technology of the Maritime Silk Road, and transforming the economic growth mode transformation of the Silk Road Economic Belt.