| 磨盘山水库流域集水期降水等级预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 景学义,王永波,陶国辉.磨盘山水库流域集水期降水等级预报[J].自然灾害学报,2007,16(1):45-49. |
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| 作者姓名： | 景学义 王永波 陶国辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨市气象局,黑龙江哈尔滨150080 |
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| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省哈尔滨市科技攻关项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用2004年7—9月和2005年4—9月的磨盘山流域雨量站逐日降水资料和ECMWF24～168h的格点资料，并依据最小离度相似原理，进行相似离度过滤，通过从历史样本中选出与预报形势演变场最相似的样本，可以对磨盘山库区未来1—7d的面雨量等级进行预报，并具有较满意的精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 降水 预报 磨盘山水库 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4574（2007）01-0045-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-12-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-012007-01-10 |
Forecast of precipitation degree in Mopanshan Reservoir watershed in catchment period |
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| JING Xue-yi,WANG Yong-bo,TAO Guo-hui.Forecast of precipitation degree in Mopanshan Reservoir watershed in catchment period[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2007,16(1):45-49. |
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| Authors: | JING Xue-yi WANG Yong-bo TAO Guo-hui |
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| Affiliation: | Harbin Meteorological Bureau, Harbin 150080, China |
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| Abstract: | Using daily precipitation data for July-September, 2004 and April-September, 2005 from meteorological station located at Mopanshan basin and 24 - 168 h ECMWF information, and in light of the minimum separation similarity principle, the similar separation filtering was conducted. The sample which is the most similar to forecast situation evoluting field were selected from historical samples. Based on the work mentioned above the rainfall grade in future 1 - 7d can be forecasted |
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| Keywords: | precipitation forecast Mopanshan Reservoir |
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