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基于层次分析-模糊综合评判的化工园区安全评价研究
引用本文:程凌,华洁,周晓柱.基于层次分析-模糊综合评判的化工园区安全评价研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(8).
作者姓名:程凌  华洁  周晓柱
作者单位:1. 江苏省安全科学生产研究院,南京,210042
2. 南京林业大学机械电子工程学院,南京,210037
3. 泰兴市安全生产监督管理局,泰兴,225400
基金项目:江苏省省属科研院所社会公益研究和服务专项
摘    要:应用模糊数学理论,把模糊综合评价方法具体应用到化学工业园区安全综合评价研究中,结合化工园区的实际情况,建立了化工园区的安全现状综合评价指标体系,采用定性与定量相结合的层次分析法计算评价因素的权重,运用模糊综合评判理论,提出安全现状二级模糊综合评价方法,实现对化工园区安全等级的综合评判。应用该方法对某化工园区的安全现状进行了综合评价,得出其安全等级为"一般"。实例表明:模糊综合评价方法可操作性强、效果较好,可在化工园区的安全综合评价中广泛应用。

关 键 词:化学工业园区  评价指标  层次分析法(AHP)  模糊综合评价  安全评价

Safety Assessment of Chemical Industrial Parks Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method
CHENG Ling,HUA Jie,ZHOU Xiao-zhu.Safety Assessment of Chemical Industrial Parks Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008,18(8).
Authors:CHENG Ling  HUA Jie  ZHOU Xiao-zhu
Abstract:The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was applied to the safety assessment of chemical industrial park,and the index system was established with consideration on the actual situation of chemical industrial parks.Based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation theory and factor weight sets,which was calculated by the qualitative and quantitative AHP,a 2-level fuzzy comprehensive safety assessment model for chemical industrial parks was put forward.With this method,the safety assessment of a chemical industrial park was made,and the safety level was "general".This results show that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is feasible and effective,and can be widely used in the safety comprehensive assessment of chemical industrial parks.
Keywords:chemical industrial park  evaluating index  analytical hierarchy process(AHP)  fuzzy comprehensive evaluation  safety assessment
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