| 我国饲料产业链价格传导与调控机制研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张喜才,张利庠.我国饲料产业链价格传导与调控机制研究[J].渔业经济研究,2011(2):44-51. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张喜才 张利庠 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京商业管理干部学院,北京,100028;中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京,100872
2. 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京,100872 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科基金重大课题"产业链视角下我国敏感农产品价格形成机制和调控机制研究" |
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| 摘 要： | 本文依据2001—2009年饲料产业链上中下游产品价格的月度数据，使用Johansen模型、VEC模型等来研究猪、肉鸡和蛋鸡饲料产业链上中下游产品价格之间的长期协整关系和短期变动关系，并进行了Granger因果关系检验。研究表明，鱼粉、豆粕对于饲料价格波动的影响系数最大，但不同原料对于不同饲料的影响不一致。猪饲料是供给主导型的价格形成机制，大豆、鱼粉和玉米等都是猪肉饲料的Granger原因；肉鸡和蛋鸡饲料则是需求主导型价格形成机制，鱼粉和小麦麸是它们的Granger原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 饲料 价格传递 产业链 协整 |
Price of Feed Chain Mechanism and Control Mechanism |
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| ZHANG Xicai,ZHANG Lixiang.Price of Feed Chain Mechanism and Control Mechanism[J].Fisheries Economy Research,2011(2):44-51. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xicai ZHANG Lixiang |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Beijing Business Management College, Beijing 100028, China; 2. College of Agriculture and Rural Development, Renmin University of China, Beijing 10087, China) |
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| Abstract: | Time series models were used to the analyze pricing mechanism of pig feed, chicken feed and layer feed in China. The result showed that fish meal, and soybean meal were the largest coefficient in feed price fluctuations, but different feed ingredients affected different feeds. Pork feed was the supply dominant mechanism. The price of soybeans, fish meals and corns was the Granger reasons of it, Broiler and layer feed was a demand-led price formation mechanism. The price of fish meal was their Granger causality, while they were also Granger cause of the wheat bran price fluctuations. |
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| Keywords: | feed price transmission chain integration |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
