“森林资源诅咒”的存在性、传导机制及破解对策:综述与展望

文中研究森林资源丰裕度与经济增长的关系，从森林资源诅咒的存在性检验、传导机制和破解对策3个方面对国内外相关文献进行了梳理总结。结果表明:森林资源诅咒研究已经取得了一定成果，但是现有文献对森林资源诅咒现象的实证研究结果不稳定，会因研究对象、时间、样本以及模型和指标选取的不同而变化；现有研究对森林资源诅咒的传导机制缺乏实证检验，在指标选择和模型构建中尚存在许多不足之处。未来研究需要考虑指标筛选的科学性、计量模型的稳健性以及中介和调节效应的引入等；此外，森林资源丰裕度与经济增长之间的关系可能不是线性关系，因此在建立计量模型时应对模型形式进行优化选择。

Existence,Transmission Mechanism and Countermeasures of "Forest Resource Curse": A Review and Future Research Direction

This article reviews the international and national literature related to the existence test, the transmission mechanism and the countermeasures of forest resource curse to study the relationship between forest resource abundance and economic growth. The results show that some achievements have been made in previous studies on forest resource curse, but the empirical research results of forest resource curse vary with different research regions, time, sample sizes, models and indicators. The transmission mechanism of forest resource curse lacks empirical test, and there are still many gaps in variables selection and model development. For the future research, we suggest that the considerations should be put on the scientific selection of indicators, the robustness of the econometric model, and the introduction of mediating and regulating effects. In addition, the relationship between forest resource abundance and economic growth may not be linear, and thus, the style of econometric models should be optimized when they are selected.