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农业转移人口市民化微观决策机制研究?
作者姓名:徐爱东  吴国锋
作者单位:1. 重庆工商大学 经济学院,重庆,400067;2. 重庆工商大学 社会与公共管理学院,重庆,400067
基金项目:重庆市基础与前沿研究计划项目(cstc2013jcyj A0935)
摘    要:借鉴成本收益理论,基于农业转移人口市民化意愿和经济理性的微观视角,构建我国农业转移人口市民化微观决策机制理论模型,并根据在重庆进行的实地调查数据进行实证检验。研究表明:农业转移人口在城市就业创业收入及其社会网络、文化程度以及农业生产成本和农村建房成本与转户迁移人数正相关,而城市劳动力素质、城市住房价格、城市日常生活开支与转户迁移人数负相关。农业转移人口在城市稳定就业后,根据转户迁移的收益与成本评估进行市民化决策,只有收益大于成本时才进行转户迁移;否则会继续“流而不迁”或返回农村。因此,仅仅拆除城乡户籍制度的藩篱并不能促成农业转移人口的快速市民化,还必须有效提高农民转户迁移的收益,并降低其成本。

关 键 词:农业转移人口  市民化决策  农民工  转户迁移  流而不迁  户籍制度改革  城乡差异  成本收益理论

A Study on Micro Decision-making Mechanism of Agricultural Population’ s Citizenization
Authors:XU Ai-dong;WU Guo-feng
Affiliation:XU Ai-dong;WU Guo-feng;School of Economics,Chongqing Technology and Business University;School of Social and Public Management,Chongqing Technology and Business University;
Abstract:Borrowing cost?income theory, a micro decision?making mechanism model of agricultural population’ s citizenization is designed in the perspective of the willingness of agricultural population ’ s citizenization and economic rationality, and according to the survey data of Chongqing, the empirical test is implemented. The research shows that there is positive correlation between the income of the migration population, social network, education level, agricultural production cost, rural house construction cost and the number of migration population;there is negative correlation between urban labor force quality, urban housing price, urban daily cost and the number of migration population. After the migration population are employed stably, decision of citizenization is made according to the cost and income of migration. Only if the income excesses the cost, the migration is implemented;if not, the migration population will go back to countryside. Therefore, only removing the barrier of registration system of the urban and rural areas cannot accelerate citizenization. In addition, the income of migration population should be added and the cost should be cut.
Keywords:agricultural migration population  citizenization decision-making  peasant-worker  the transfer of registered permanent residence  migration without transfer  reform of the household register system  rural-urban differences  cost-income theory
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