基于演化博弈的建设用地集约利用制度研究

基于演化博弈方法对城市化地区和农业地区建设用地利用互动行为进行分析并结合经验数据仿真模拟发现:不同区域经济增长和耕地保护的考核比重差异化须足够大才能减少不同资源禀赋地区间的非合作用地行为;“大棒”政策有利于促进地方政府间的合作,基于“大棒”政策基础上的“胡萝卜”政策则效果更为明显.地方政府利用双边垄断的土地一级市场进行经济增长的竞次竞争行为和征地补偿价格非市场化不利于地方政府间土地集约利用上的合作.因此促进建设用地集约利用需着眼于:短期内将用地指标配置与不同地区的土地利用效率指标、资源禀赋和经济发展实际挂钩;在此基础上建立惩罚机制上的土地集约利用激励机制并实现结余土地指标充分市场化流转.推动征地补偿价格市场化和集体土地入市改革,针对不同地区实施足够大的差异化政绩考核体系.长期看,当以土地用途的分区管制代替指标管控并辅之以转移支付、户籍改革、税收补贴等举措,在促进建设用地集约利用的同时促进耕地保护和区域的差异城镇化发展.

Study on intensive use of construction land system based on evolutionary game

Based on evolutionary game theory, we analyze the interactive behavior of land use in urbanized areas and agricultural areas and simulate with empirical data. The difference of the proportion of economic growth and cultivated land protection in different regions should be large enough to reduce the non-cooperative land use among region of different resource endowments. The "big stick" policy helps promote cooperation among local governments, and the carrot policy based on the "big stick" policy is more effective. Non-marketization of land expropriation compensation price is not conducive to local governments to implement land intensive use of cooperation. Therefore, promoting the intensive use of construction land needs to focus on allocating land resources according to the land use efficiency, establishing the land intensive use incentive mechanism on the punishment mechanism, and realizing the full market circulation of the surplus land index, promoting land acquisition compensation price marketization, in accordance with different areas to implement a large enough differential performance evaluation system. In the long run, it is necessary to use zoning control instead of index control to promote intensive use of construction land.