| 我国水资源可持续发展系统动力学模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈成鲜,严广乐.我国水资源可持续发展系统动力学模型研究[J].上海理工大学学报,2000,22(2):154-159. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈成鲜 严广乐 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海理工大学,管理学院,上海,200093 |
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| 摘 要： | 水资源可持续发展系统是一个大型复杂的非线性系统。运用系统动力学方法，建立了我国水资源可持续发展的系统动力模型；引入水资源可持续发展因子。将水资源与社会、经济、人口、环境放在一个系统中，研究满足我国未来用水需求，保证水资源可持续发展的策略；对我国２０１０年水资源可持续发展的具体情况加以预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 水资源 可持续发展 |
| 修稿时间： | : |
Research on system dynamics model of water resources sustainable development in China |
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| CHEN Cheng-xian,YAN Guang-le.Research on system dynamics model of water resources sustainable development in China[J].Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology,2000,22(2):154-159. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Cheng-xian YAN Guang-le |
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| Abstract: | The system of Chinese water resources sustainable development is a large complex nonlinear system. With the application of system dynamics analysis, in the paper a model of system dynamics of Chinese water resources sustainable development is tried to be built considering water resources, society, economy, population and environment as a comprehensive general system, the strategy of water consumption in the future is studied, tfying to guarantee the sustainable development of water resources in china and meemwhile to estimate the details of water resources in 2010. |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics water resources sustainable development |
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