基于判别矩阵的潜艇作战态势认知决策建模方法

潜艇作战具备复杂环境中的动态博弈对抗特点,作战人员的态势认知与决策行为对潜艇作战效能有着重要影响。针对潜艇交战级作战实验中的态势认知决策建模难题,在分析态势认知决策过程的基础上提炼表征变量集合,提出基于判别矩阵的潜艇作战态势认知决策建模方法,并以某型潜艇交战级对抗为例研究给定想定条件下的态势认知决策过程,验证了方法的可行性和有效性。建立的模型能够有效刻画作战人员认知决策过程,支持潜艇作战实验中的交战机理和制胜机理研究。

Situation Cognition and Decision Modeling Method for Submarine Operation Based on Discriminant Matrix

Submarine operations have the characteristics of dynamic game confrontation in complex environments. Situation cognition and decision (SCD) behavior of combatants have an important impact on the effectiveness of submarine operations. Aiming at the SCD modeling in submarine engagement-level operational experiments, based on analyzing the SCD process, the representative variable set is refined, and a SCD modeling method for submarine operation based on the discrimination matrix is proposed. The submarine engagement-level confrontation is used as an example to study the SCD process in the given scenarios, and the feasibility and effectiveness of the method are verified. The established model could effectively describe the SCD process of combatants, and support the research of the combat mechanism and the winning mechanism in submarine operational experiments.