| 时间序列的投影寻踪自回归在新疆地震预报中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 王琼,朱令人.时间序列的投影寻踪自回归在新疆地震预报中的应用[J].内陆地震,2002,16(2):118-125. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王琼 朱令人 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局,新疆乌鲁木齐,830011 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 选取新疆各分区一年和半年最大震级时间序列资料 ,运用投影寻踪自回归方法 ,建立相应的中、短期预测模型。并把预测模型应用于新疆年中和年度地震趋势分析 ,其预测结果是可信的 ,有一定的现实意义。
|
| 关 键 词： | PP自回归 地震预报 时间序列 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8956(2002)02-0118-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年12月10 |
APPLICATION OF PROJECTION PURSUIT AUTOREGRESSIONOF TIME SEQUENCE TO EARTHQUAKEPREDICTION IN XINJIANG |
| |
| WANG Qiong,ZHU Ling ren.APPLICATION OF PROJECTION PURSUIT AUTOREGRESSIONOF TIME SEQUENCE TO EARTHQUAKEPREDICTION IN XINJIANG[J].Inland Earthquake,2002,16(2):118-125. |
| |
| Authors: | WANG Qiong ZHU Ling ren |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the largest magnitude time sequence data in one year and a half year that was selected from different research areas in Xinjiang, the corresponding medium, short term earthquake prediction models were built with projection pursuit autoregression method, and the models were applied to mid year and yearly earthquake prediction. It is believed that the prediction results are reliable and have some reality significance. |
| |
| Keywords: | Projection pursuit autoregression Earthquake prediction Time sequence |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
